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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 5, 2025

Cowherd walked through their revised division-by-division playoff predictions, keeping the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Commanders, Buccaneers and Rams as division winners while swapping Cincinnati out for Denver in the AFC and Chicago out for Green Bay in the NFC, with New England and Seattle as their only new playoff teams.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 13calls landed6 hits · 7 misses · all settled
46.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 13 calls
38.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13 of 13Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

I'm sorry, Chicago, I think I have to demote you and put the Packers in the playoffs.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 1 - NFL predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Division Winners0070
Playoff Picks6000
All6070

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 7 division winners and 6 playoff picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 46.2 out of 100, against 38.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners7 missesShow ▸
  1. Washington Commanders to win the division

    “Commanders Class of the NFC East, not Close”

    Washington Commanders

    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “AFC North prediction. Ravens are the class of of this division”

    Baltimore Ravens

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    “NFC West again, I'm not as high as the Niners as jmac. I go ram Seahawks.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    “AFC West Chargers, Chiefs. Broncos, Raiders.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Houston Texans to win the division

    “AFC South is weak. Texans are gonna win the division.”

    Houston Texans

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “NFC South, weakest division in my opinion in football Bucks class of the division, best GM, best quarterback, and you know I'll take the Bucks.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “So in the AFC, for instance, Josh Allen's gonna win the division for as long as he's in his prime.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks6 hitsShow ▸
  1. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “if I had made these two changes, I do only have two new playoff teams New England and ... Seattle in the NFC”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    “C J. Stroud made the playoffs. My guess is c J. Stroud will make the playoffs again this year.”

    Houston Texans

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “I'd probably move the Bears out and the Packers in again, noise out like the Bengals, reliable Sean Payton, Green Bay Packers in”

    Green Bay Packers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “NFC East Eagles, Commanders, Commanders Class of the NFC East ... Giants, Cowboys”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    “If I moved Cincinnati out because I've predicted they'll make the playoffs, I would put the Broncos in.”

    Denver Broncos

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs

    “I do only have two new playoff teams New England and the AFC and Seattle in the NFC”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SEA
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.