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Ethan HurwitzAug 12, 2026

Hurwitz makes bold predictions for the Patriots' 2026 preseason: UDFA receiver Cameron Dorner plays their way onto the practice squad, second-round rookie Gabe Jacas posts at least two sacks, and Christian Gonzalez finally signs their contract extension before Week 1.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Ethan Hurwitz said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Regardless, I predict that Gonzalez heads into Week 1 with some heavier pockets.
Ethan Hurwitz, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Five Bold Predictions for Patriots Preseason: Does Drake Maye Struggle?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Cameron Dorner to land on the practice squad“He's been a consistent target for rookie quarterback Behren Morton on the third-string offense and could easily play himself into a practice squad spot by the end of the month.”
  2. 2Gabe Jacas to record 2 sacks“Gabe Jacas Records 2+ Sacks”
  3. 3Christian Gonzalez to sign a new deal with New England Patriots“At some point this summer, the cornerback will agree to terms with his long-awaited contract extension... Regardless, I predict that Gonzalez heads into Week 1 with some heavier pockets.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cameron Dorner to land on the practice squad1Roster Spot Calls————
Gabe Jacas to record 2 sacks2Player Season Numbers————
Christian Gonzalez to sign a new deal with New England Patriots3Contract Calls————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 1 contract call, 1 player season number and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsCameron DornerNew England Patriots

    Cameron Dorner to land on the practice squad

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Contract CallsChristian GonzalezNew England Patriots

    Christian Gonzalez to sign a new deal with New England Patriots

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More contract calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.