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Jaime EisnerMar 31, 2026

A seven-round Jets mock draft projecting New York to take Ohio State's Arvell Reese at No. 2 and Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson at No. 16, followed by Ty Simpson, Brandon Cisse, Jalon Kilgore, Tyreak Sapp, Kaelon Black, Fernando Carmona and Trebor Pena.

Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original

2 of 10picks landed2 hits · 3 close calls · 5 misses · all settled
96.11The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+46.11Skillthe mock as a whole
37.4Per pickaverage, out of 100
2Went undraftedeach a miss

What Jaime Eisner said

The Jets are rebuilding their defense from the ground up, and Arvell Reese can be a cornerstone.
Jaime Eisner, the lead quote
Where it was published
The Draft Network
The piece
Jets 7-Round NFL Mock Draft: March Edition
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidMar 31
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 11100
Round 21200
Round 40020
Round 50010
Round 70020
All2350

How the mock scored

10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 37.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Arvell Reese · 2026 season · overall pick

11 calls from 9 pundits between 2 overall pick and 5 overall pick. Jaime Eisner said 2 overall pick. the room's median is 2 overall pick. what happened: 5 overall pick

Jaime Eisner — 2 overall pickthe room — 11 calls from 9 punditsmedian 2 overall pickwhat happened — 5 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 1242 →1242UDFA
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed. Faint rules mark the rounds.

The mock as a whole

96.11this mock’s order50a shuffled mock46.11better than naive1difficulty+46.11skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–321 hit · 1 close callShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
2NYJArvell ReeseLB/EDGE588
16NYJJordyn TysonWR871
Round 2 · picks 33–641 hit · 2 close callsShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
33NYJTy SimpsonQB1342
44NYJBrandon CisseCB5271
50—Brandon CisseCB5292
Round 4 · picks 101–1402 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
103NYJJalon KilgoreSAF1676
140NYJTyreak SappEDGEUDFA0
Round 5 · picks 141–1811 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
179NYJKaelon BlackRB902
Round 7 · picks 217–2572 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
228NYJFernando CarmonaIOL1422
242NYJTrebor PenaWRUDFA0

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