Richard Sherman· Sep 24, 2026
Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
“I got the Detroit Lions winning this game 24 to 21.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
17 checkable claims — 11 game outcome picks, 5 score predictions and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
16 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 54.2 out of 100, against 69.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Falcons at Packers 11 calls
- Texans at Colts 11 calls
- Seahawks at Commanders 48 calls
- Jets at Lions 12 calls
- Chargers at Bills 22 calls
- Panthers at Browns 8 calls
- Bengals at Steelers 15 calls
- Titans at Giants 10 calls
- Chiefs at Dolphins 17 calls
- Patriots at Jaguars 16 calls
- Cardinals at 49ers 9 calls
- Vikings at Buccaneers 12 calls
- Raiders at Saints 15 calls
- Ravens at Cowboys 25 calls
- Rams at Broncos 25 calls
- Eagles at Bears 23 calls
17 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 24, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chicago Bears
“With all that being said, I got Philly in this one, Mitchell.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 7-27
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansSep 24, 2026
Houston Texans 17 — Indianapolis Colts 14
“I think I got the Houston Texans winning this game 17-14.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 96.35-92.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-19
- skill:
- -92.11
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 96.35
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsSep 24, 2026
New Orleans Saints to beat Las Vegas Raiders
“Give me the Saints in this game. Give me the Saints by three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LV
- score:
- 35-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 24, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
“I got the Jacksonville Jaguars winning this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsSep 24, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay Bucs
“So I got the Vikings and Brian Flores making Baker Mayfield's life hell... I got the Vikings continuing on 3-0.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 23-16
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsSep 24, 2026
Detroit Lions 24 — Jets 21
“And I got the Detroit Lions winning this game. 24 to 21.”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 84.45+11.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-31
- skill:
- 11.39
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 84.45
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 24, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
“Yeah, I really like the Cincinnati Bengals.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 27-30
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsSep 24, 2026
New York Giants to beat Tennessee Titans
“I think they're going to have a good day, and I think that's why they can pull this one out. I got the Giants.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 7-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersSep 24, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Arizona Cardinals 17
“So I expect him to put up 30 points. I expect him to hold Arizona to 17.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 86.83-6.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-36
- skill:
- -6.61
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 86.83
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 13
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 24, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Dallas Cowboys 26
“Give me Baltimore. Give me Baltimore. 30-26.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 43.97+101.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 101.39
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 43.97
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsCarolina PanthersSep 24, 2026
Carolina Panthers 28 — Cleveland Browns 24
“I got the Carolina Panthers winning this game 24-28, or 28-24.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 93.97-87.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 18-21
- skill:
- -87.61
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 93.97
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksSep 24, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington Commanders
“Obviously, I have the Seahawks in control of this game for a number of reasons... I think they're going to try to score over 30 points. I think they're going to try to hold Washington under 10.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 31-33
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 24, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami Dolphins
“No question. I think K-9 leaves the Chiefs, and then that defense is going to take advantage of a Miami Dolphins offense”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 24-10
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsSep 24, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat L.A. Chargers
“Got the Bills.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 16-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 24, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Denver Broncos
“This secondary, along with that, I got the Rams winning this game. In a defensive battle of sorts... I'd say 17-20.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 26-30
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersSep 24, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Atlanta Falcons
“I have the Green Bay Packers winning this game, getting back on track offensively.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 35-14
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Award PicksKenneth Walker IIIKansas City ChiefsSep 24, 2026
Kenneth Walker III to win MVP
“Kenneth Walker has had a tremendous impact for the Kansas City Chiefs... So I think he's the MVP.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).