Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2026

Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker their MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 16calls landed8 hits · 2 close calls · 6 misses · 1 waiting

54.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 16 calls

69.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

16Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#43Richard Sherman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Richard Sherman said

I got the Detroit Lions winning this game 24 to 21.

Richard Sherman, the lead quote

Where it was said: The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)
The episode: The Richard Sherman Podcast - NFL Week 3 PREDICTIONS: Seahawks-Commanders, 49ers-Cardinals, Bengals-Steelers, Rams
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 24
PlayedSep 24–28
GradedSep 25–29

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Game Outcome Picks	5	0	6	0
Score Predictions	3	2	0	0
Award Picks	0	0	0	1
All	8	2	6	1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

17 checkable claims — 11 game outcome picks, 5 score predictions and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

16 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 54.2 out of 100, against 69.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks5 hits · 6 missesShow ▸

Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chicago Bears
“With all that being said, I got Philly in this one, Mitchell.”
Philadelphia Eagles
Bears 27–7Eagles at Bears
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Closing line (Sep 28): Eagles by 3.5 · favorite pick, Eagles 64%.
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
7-27
skill:
−189
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to beat Las Vegas Raiders
“Give me the Saints in this game. Give me the Saints by three.”
New Orleans Saints
Raiders 35–27Raiders at Saints
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Saints by 3.5 · favorite pick, Saints 63%.
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
35-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
“I got the Jacksonville Jaguars winning this game.”
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars 35–6Patriots at Jaguars
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3 · favorite pick, Jaguars 59%.
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay Bucs
“So I got the Vikings and Brian Flores making Baker Mayfield's life hell... I got the Vikings continuing on 3-0.”
Minnesota Vikings
Vikings 23–16Vikings at Buccaneers
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.89 difficulty = +189 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Vikings by 1.5 · a toss-up, Vikings 50%, Buccaneers 50%.
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
23-16
skill:
189
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
“Yeah, I really like the Cincinnati Bengals.”
Cincinnati Bengals
Steelers 30–27Bengals at Steelers
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
27-30
skill:
−189
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to beat Tennessee Titans
“I think they're going to have a good day, and I think that's why they can pull this one out. I got the Giants.”
New York Giants
Giants 12–7Titans at Giants
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Giants by 2.5 · favorite pick, Giants 54%.
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
7-12
skill:
0
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington Commanders
“Obviously, I have the Seahawks in control of this game for a number of reasons... I think they're going to try to score over 30 points. I think they're going to try to hold Washington under 10.”
Seattle Seahawks
Commanders 33–31Seahawks at Commanders
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (77%).
How this was scored
won:
WAS
score:
31-33
skill:
−189
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami Dolphins
“No question. I think K-9 leaves the Chiefs, and then that defense is going to take advantage of a Miami Dolphins offense”
Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs 24–10Chiefs at Dolphins
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.89 difficulty = +189 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Chiefs by 10 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 5 in 6 (82%).
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
24-10
skill:
189
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to beat L.A. Chargers
“Got the Bills.”
Buffalo Bills
Bills 24–16Chargers at Bills
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (73%).
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
16-24
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to beat Denver Broncos
“This secondary, along with that, I got the Rams winning this game. In a defensive battle of sorts... I'd say 17-20.”
Los Angeles Rams
Broncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Rams 50%, Broncos 50%.
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
26-30
skill:
−189
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to beat Atlanta Falcons
“I have the Green Bay Packers winning this game, getting back on track offensively.”
Green Bay Packers
Falcons 35–14Falcons at Packers
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 24): Packers by 4.5 · favorite pick, Packers about 2 in 3 (67%).
How this was scored
won:
ATL
score:
35-14
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?

Score Predictions3 hits · 2 close callsShow ▸

Houston Texans 17 — Indianapolis Colts 14
“I think I got the Houston Texans winning this game 17-14.”
Houston Texans
Colts 19–17called Texans by 3 · lost by 2
47.62Close
47.62 − 96.35 naive = −48.73 × 1.89 difficulty = −92.11 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Texans by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 17–14 calls a bigger Texans win (by 3) and fewer points (31).
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−92.11
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions 24 — Jets 21
“And I got the Detroit Lions winning this game. 24 to 21.”
Detroit Lions
Lions 31–24called Lions by 3 · won by 7
90.48Hit
90.48 − 84.45 naive = 6.03 × 1.89 difficulty = +11.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Lions by 7, total 49.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Lions by 3) and fewer points (45).
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
11.39
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Arizona Cardinals 17
“So I expect him to put up 30 points. I expect him to hold Arizona to 17.”
San Francisco 49ers
49ers 36–30called 49ers by 13 · won by 6
83.33Hit
83.33 − 86.83 naive = −3.5 × 1.89 difficulty = −6.61 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): 49ers by 7.5, total 48.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 13) and fewer points (47).
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
−6.61
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
13
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Dallas Cowboys 26
“Give me Baltimore. Give me Baltimore. 30-26.”
Baltimore Ravens
Ravens 34–31called Ravens by 4 · won by 3
97.62Hit
97.62 − 43.97 naive = 53.65 × 1.89 difficulty = +101.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3, total 53.5 · this 30–26 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 4) and more points (56).
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
101.39
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 28 — Cleveland Browns 24
“I got the Carolina Panthers winning this game 24-28, or 28-24.”
Carolina Panthers
Browns 21–18called Panthers by 4 · lost by 3
47.62Close
47.62 − 93.97 naive = −46.35 × 1.89 difficulty = −87.61 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 4) and more points (52).
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
−87.61
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?

Award Picks1 waitingShow ▸

Kenneth Walker III to win MVP
“Kenneth Walker has had a tremendous impact for the Kansas City Chiefs... So I think he's the MVP.”
Kenneth Walker III Kansas City Chiefs
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?