John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 22, 2026

Breech predicts the Dolphins will miss the playoffs and may go winless, and picks every Week 3 game with scores, including Texans over Colts, a Buccaneers upset of Minnesota, Ravens over Cowboys in Brazil, Saints over Raiders and Broncos over Rams.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

7 of 16calls landed7 hits · 5 close calls · 4 misses · 3 waiting

62.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 16 calls

65.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

16Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

I'm starting the 0-17 watch now.

John Breech, the lead quote

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: NFL Week 3 picks and score predictions: Two undefeated teams go down, Broncos edge Rams in thriller
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 22
PlayedSep 24–28
GradedSep 25–29

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Score Predictions	7	5	4	0
Position Group Finish	0	0	0	1
Season Win Totals	0	0	0	1
Availability Calls	0	0	0	1
All	7	5	4	3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

19 checkable claims — 16 score predictions, 1 availability call, 1 position group finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 19 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

16 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 62.9 out of 100, against 65.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Score Predictions7 hits · 5 close calls · 4 missesShow ▸

Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 16
“Eagles 23-16 over Bears (Monday)”
Philadelphia Eagles
Bears 27–7called Eagles by 7 · lost by 20
19.05Miss
19.05 − 54.46 naive = −35.41 × 1.89 difficulty = −66.94 skill
Closing line (Sep 28): Eagles by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 7) and fewer points (39).
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
−66.94
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 24 — Cardinals 16
“49ers 24-16 over Cardinals”
San Francisco 49ers
49ers 36–30called 49ers by 8 · won by 6
95.24Hit
95.24 − 86.83 naive = 8.41 × 1.89 difficulty = +15.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): 49ers by 7.5, total 48.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 8) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
15.89
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions 31 — Jets 24
“Lions 31-24 over Jets”
Detroit Lions
Lions 31–24called Lions by 7 · won by 7
100Hit
100 − 84.45 naive = 15.55 × 1.89 difficulty = +29.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Lions by 7, total 49.5 · this 31–24 calls the line’s margin (Lions by 7) and more points (55).
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
29.39
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 — Vikings 16
“PICK: Buccaneers 19-16 over Vikings”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Vikings 23–16called Buccaneers by 3 · lost by 7
40.48Close
40.48 − 34.45 naive = 6.03 × 1.89 difficulty = +11.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Vikings by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 19–16 calls a Buccaneers win (by 3; the line gave the Buccaneers 50%) and fewer points (35).
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
11.39
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 34 — Cowboys 27
“PICK: Ravens 34-27 over Cowboys”
Baltimore Ravens
Ravens 34–31called Ravens by 7 · won by 3
90.48Hit
90.48 − 43.97 naive = 46.51 × 1.89 difficulty = +87.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3, total 53.5 · this 34–27 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 7) and more points (61).
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
87.89
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 20 — Browns 17
“Panthers 20-17 over Browns”
Carolina Panthers
Browns 21–18called Panthers by 3 · lost by 3
50Close
50 − 93.97 naive = −43.97 × 1.89 difficulty = −83.11 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 3) and fewer points (37).
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
−83.11
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 20
“Jaguars 23-20 over Patriots”
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars 35–6called Jaguars by 3 · won by 29
50Close
50 − 50 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (Jaguars by 3) and fewer points (43).
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 34 — Chargers 24
“Bills 34-24 over Chargers”
Buffalo Bills
Bills 24–16called Bills by 10 · won by 8
95.24Hit
95.24 − 82.07 naive = 13.17 × 1.89 difficulty = +24.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7, total 50.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Bills win (by 10) and more points (58).
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
24.89
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
82.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Denver Broncos 23 — Rams 21
“PICK: Broncos 23-21 over Rams”
Denver Broncos
Broncos 30–26called Broncos by 2 · won by 4
95.24Hit
95.24 − 91.59 naive = 3.65 × 1.89 difficulty = +6.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5, total 43.5 · this 23–21 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 2) and more points (44).
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
6.89
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 27 — Raiders 24
“PICK: Saints 27-24 over Raiders”
New Orleans Saints
Raiders 35–27called Saints by 3 · lost by 8
38.1Miss
38.1 − 32.07 naive = 6.03 × 1.89 difficulty = +11.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Saints by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Saints by 3) and more points (51).
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
11.39
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
32.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Dolphins 17
“Chiefs 31-17 over Dolphins”
Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs 24–10called Chiefs by 14 · won by 14
100Hit
100 − 17.78 naive = 82.22 × 1.89 difficulty = +155.39 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Chiefs by 10, total 45.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 14) and more points (48).
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
155.39
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
14
Think this is wrong?
Houston Texans 27 — Colts 24
“PICK: Texans 27-24 over Colts”
Houston Texans
Colts 19–17called Texans by 3 · lost by 2
47.62Close
47.62 − 96.35 naive = −48.73 × 1.89 difficulty = −92.11 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Texans by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 27–24 calls a bigger Texans win (by 3) and more points (51).
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−92.11
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20
“Bengals 27-20 over Steelers”
Cincinnati Bengals
Steelers 30–27called Bengals by 7 · lost by 3
40.48Close
40.48 − 93.97 naive = −53.49 × 1.89 difficulty = −101.11 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Bengals by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and more points (47).
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
−101.11
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants 20 — Titans 16
“Giants 20-16 over Titans”
New York Giants
Giants 12–7called Giants by 4 · won by 5
97.62Hit
97.62 − 89.21 naive = 8.41 × 1.89 difficulty = +15.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 27): Giants by 2.5, total 37.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Giants win (by 4) and fewer points (36).
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
15.89
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
89.21
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Commanders 13
“Seahawks 30-13 over Commanders”
Seattle Seahawks
Commanders 33–31called Seahawks by 17 · lost by 2
14.29Miss
Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 17) and more points (43).
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
−155.11
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
14.29
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
17
Think this is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 27 — Falcons 13
“Packers 27-13 over Falcons (Thursday)”
Green Bay Packers
Falcons 35–14called Packers by 14 · lost by 21
33.33Miss
33.33 − 0 naive = 33.33 × 1.89 difficulty = +63 skill
Closing line (Sep 24): Packers by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Packers win (by 14) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
63
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
−0.45
predicted margin:
14
Think this is wrong?

Position Group Finish1 waitingShow ▸

Houston Texans defense to be top 10 in the league
“Not only does Houston have what should end up being a top defense, but this year, the Texans have the offense to go with it.”
Houston Texans
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸

Miami Dolphins to finish with 0 wins
“I'm not sure they're even going to win a game. I know we're only two weeks through the season, but I'm starting the 0-17 watch now.”
Miami Dolphins
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Availability Calls1 waitingShow ▸

“Kyler Murray will be returning to the field on Sunday after playing just three possessions in Week 1 (Week 3)”
Kyler Murray Minnesota Vikings
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.