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John Middlekauff#48 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026

Middlekauff says Sam Darnold is easily a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, and that Fernando Mendoza is a perfect fit for Clint Kubiak's Raiders offense.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

58Close · out of 100
Finished #5What happenedcalled #10 · by passing yards
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
58.33This callout of 100
#48John Middlekauff’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Middlekauff said

Well, I think he's easily a top ten quarterback.
Our reading: Sam Darnold to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
The episode
Super Bowl Week Preview: Darnold From Bust To Top Ten QB, Seahawks Valuation Too Low, Vikings Fire GM, Kubiak Will Succeed
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 2
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 58.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
10They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Positional FinishesSam DarnoldSeattle Seahawks

    Sam Darnold to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #5called #10 · by passing yards
    58.33Close · naive 100
    58.33this call100a naive guess−41.67worse than naive1difficulty−41.67skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −41.67
    player:
    Sam Darnold
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    58.33
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    5
    actual finish:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.