Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 7, 2025
Brockman predicts Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders go second and third overall, and that a record-ish five quarterbacks — Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shough and Jalen Milroe — will be taken in the first round, arguing Milroe's draft invite proves the league has a first-round grade on them.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWe're getting not one, not two, not three, not four, five quarterbacks in the first round in two weeks.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Draft: Hunter and Shedeur Will Go 2 & 3 in the Draft
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 7, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“The league has a first round grade on Jalen Milrow... five quarterbacks in the first round in two weeks.”
- 2Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
- 3Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
- 4Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
- 5Shedeur Sanders to be picked “will go two three in the draft”“Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.”
- 6Travis Hunter to be picked “will go two three in the draft”“Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 92 | 7.43 | 50 | — | |
| Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 25 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)3 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)4 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 40 | 70.71 | 50 | — | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be picked “will go two three in the draft”5 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Travis Hunter to be picked “will go two three in the draft”6 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting | 69.5 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 69.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 927.43Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jalen Milroe
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 7.43
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 7.43
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 25100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 4070.71Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
5Mock Draft PicksShedeur Sanders
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Mock Draft PicksTravis Hunter
Travis Hunter to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
69.5naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Carter Bahns · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Miss 0
Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.Carter Bahns · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Miss 0
A CBS Sports preseason overreaction column argues Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, that Ja'Kobi Lane has a real path to a No. 2 receiver role as a rookie, and that Kenneth Walker III is a legitimate lead back atop the Chiefs' depth chart.
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Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.