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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2026

Nick Wright previews wild card weekend: they expect a Miami–Indiana college football title matchup, currently picks the Rams (with Stafford) to win the Super Bowl, and gives their game picks — Rams over Carolina, Bears over Packers, a one-point Bills win over Jacksonville, Patriots over Chargers by three, and Steelers over Houston.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 misses · all settled
59Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
49.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
The episode
What's Wright - NFL Wild Card Predictions: Bills-Jaguars, 49ers-Eagles, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Pats | Nick Wright
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 9
  2. GradedAug 7–17
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay“I think the Bears are better. The Bears are at home, the Bears are healthier... I'll take Chicago plus one.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills 24 — Jacksonville 23“deep down kind of think Buffalo is gonna win this game by one, and so like that a twenty four to twenty three Bills win”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl“I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.”
  4. 4New England Patriots to beat Chargers“I think the Pats win, but I think the Pats win by three. I'll take the four points.”
  5. 5Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston“I think Steelers are gonna win, and I understand Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in a decade.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Buffalo Bills 24 — Jacksonville 232Score Predictions—95.2447.69+47.55
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
New England Patriots to beat Chargers4Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston5Game Outcome Picks—000
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled5949.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 59 out of 100, against 49.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 24 — Jacksonville 23

    VerdictHit
    95.24Hit · naive 47.69
    95.24this call47.69a naive guess47.55better than naive1difficulty+47.55skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 24–23 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 47%) and fewer points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    47.55
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked LAR
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Chargers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Steelers 42%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    30-6
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    59naive 49.5

Who this take is about

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