Matt SeveranceAug 24, 2026
A CBS Sports/SportsLine piece on the Bills argues Josh Allen is the most accomplished active QB without a Super Bowl trip, recommends against their passing yards/TD league-leader props but leans Over on both their season passing totals, suggests fading Buffalo in overtime games, and notes D.J. Moore gives Allen a true No. 1 receiver.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Matt Severance said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHis season totals are set at 3,624.5 yards and 24.5 pass TDs. Huge Over leans on both at the book.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Buffalo Bills 2026 NFL futures odds, trends: Did Josh Allen miss his best Super Bowl chance last season?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1D.J. Moore to be 1st on the depth chart“Allen should have a true No. 1 receiver this season, unlike last, after the trade acquisition of D.J. Moore.”
- 2Josh Allen to record 24.5 passing tds“His season totals are set at 3,624.5 yards and 24.5 pass TDs. Huge Over leans on both at the book.”
- 3Josh Allen to record 3,624.5 passing yards“His season totals are set at 3,624.5 yards and 24.5 pass TDs. Huge Over leans on both at the book.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Moore to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Josh Allen to record 24.5 passing tds2 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Josh Allen to record 3,624.5 passing yards3 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 3 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
3 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
D.J. Moore · 2026 season5 calls from 5 pundits between 1 and 1. Matt Severance said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Depth Chart CallsD.J. MooreBuffalo Bills
D.J. Moore to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Player Season NumbersJosh AllenBuffalo Bills
Josh Allen to record 24.5 passing tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Player Season NumbersJosh AllenBuffalo Bills
Josh Allen to record 3,624.5 passing yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Jihaad Campbell · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.