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LaVar ArringtonSep 4, 2025

Arrington picked division winners in both conferences, had Baltimore beating Buffalo to reach the Super Bowl and Philadelphia beating Green Bay in the NFC, with the Ravens winning it all.

Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 19calls landed6 hits · 13 misses · all settled
31.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 19 calls
26.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
19 of 19Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What LaVar Arrington said

you have a Ravens Eagle Super Bowl and I have Baltimore actually winning the Super Bowl.
LaVar Arrington, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 3: Jonas, Brady & LaVar – Albert Breer & Playoff Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Conference Champions0020
Division Winners1070
Playoff Picks4020
Game Outcome Picks1010
Super Bowl Picks0010
All60130

How each call scored

19 checkable claims — 8 division winners, 6 playoff picks, 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 19 have settled, averaging 31.6 out of 100, against 26.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Conference Champions2 missesShow ▸
  1. Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    “they advanced to the Super Bowl, and you have a Ravens Eagle Super Bowl”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    NE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    “Baltimore will win to make it to the super Bowl”

    Baltimore Ravens

    NE and SEA wonpicked BAL
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Division Winners1 hit · 7 missesShow ▸
  1. Houston Texans to win the division

    “Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”

    Houston Texans

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    “Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    “I got Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as ... the division champion”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Minnesota Vikings to win the division

    “On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”

    Minnesota Vikings

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    “On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Arizona Cardinals to win the division

    “On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”

    Arizona Cardinals

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    ARI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks4 hits · 2 missesShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    “And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”

    Green Bay Packers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    “I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”

    Washington Commanders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    “I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    “And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    JAX
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo

    “Buffalo Will end up playing Baltimore and Baltimore will win to make it to the super Bowl.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    40-41
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay

    “the teams that will emerge from there will be Philly and I do believe Green Bay, but I believe that Philadelphia finds a way to win”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    “and I have Baltimore actually winning the Super Bowl”

    Baltimore Ravens

    SEA won itpicked BAL
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.