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James HarrisonMar 27, 2026

Harrison predicts Dallas would offer two first-round picks (possibly plus a third) for Myles Garrett, doubts Ty Simpson is a first-round pick and says no quarterback other than Simpson-to-the-Raiders will go in the first round, while also saying Simpson will end up with the Raiders.

Said on air or in an interview · Deebo & Joe (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting
35.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
44.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What James Harrison said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't even know if I think Tyd Simpson even gets taken in the first round.
James Harrison, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Deebo & Joe (podcast)
The episode
Deebo and Joe - Part 1: Steelers rank No 1 in Offseason moves + Mel Kiper backs Shedeur Sanders
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 27
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Ty Simpson to be picked “not in the first round” (picks 1–32)“I just I don't even know if I think Tyd Simpson even gets taken in the first round.”
  2. 2Ty Simpson to be 1st quarterback off the board“He'll go to the Raiders obviously, because who they got... So he's going to go there, I think just simply because of that. And after that... I don't think another quarterback come out of the first round”
  3. 3Myles Garrett to move to Dallas Cowboys“they saying it is Dallas. Fifty eight percent saying Dallas... Two first? It's two first, okay, two first, and if they stuttered a little bit, they might throw a third.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ty Simpson to be picked “not in the first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 13050—
Ty Simpson to be 1st quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—70.7139.7+31.01
Myles Garrett to move to Dallas Cowboys3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting35.444.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 35.4 out of 100, against 44.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
not in the first round (NOT picks 1–32)They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonLas Vegas Raiders

    Ty Simpson to be picked “not in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 13
    0Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    not in the first round (NOT picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsTy SimpsonLas Vegas Raiders

    Ty Simpson to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 39.7
    70.71this call39.7a naive guess31.01better than naive1difficulty+31.01skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    31.01
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsMyles GarrettDallas Cowboys

    Myles Garrett to move to Dallas Cowboys

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    35.4naive 44.9

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.