Mike Renner· Apr 20, 2026
Mike Renner made the even-numbered picks in the show's first-round mock, from Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2 through Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, and also said he'd bet Omar Cooper Jr. is off the board before the Eagles pick at 23.
“We're going Arvell Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →
17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 30 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
16 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Chris Johnson
- Seattle Seahawks
- Peter Woods
- Houston Texans
- Cade McDonald
- Buffalo Bills
- Jordyn Tyson
- New York Giants
- Arvell Reese
- New York Jets
- Dillon Thieneman
- Minnesota Vikings
- Carnell Tate
- Cleveland Browns
- Jeremiyah Love
- Tennessee Titans
- Rueben Bain
- Dallas Cowboys
- Kenyon Sadiq
- Baltimore Ravens
- Ty Simpson
- Max Iheanachor
- Jermod McCoy
- Olaivavega Ioane
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- Miami Dolphins
- Mansoor Delane
- New Orleans Saints
- Omar Cooper
17 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksChris JohnsonSeattle SeahawksApr 20, 2026
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32
“Number 32, last pick. Your Seattle Seahawks... Let's go get Chris Johnson, the San Diego State cornerback”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 88.57 against a shuffle’s 50+38.57 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 38.57
- player:
- Chris Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 88.57
- Mock Draft PicksPeter WoodsHouston TexansApr 20, 2026
Peter Woods to be picked at number 28
“Houston Texans, 28. Give me Peter Woods, the Clemson DT.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 88.57 against a shuffle’s 50+38.57 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 38.57
- player:
- Peter Woods
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 88.57
- Mock Draft PicksCade McDonaldBuffalo BillsApr 20, 2026
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26
“Bills are on the clock here at 26... I have going Ohio State defensive tackle, Caden McDonald”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Cade McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonNew York GiantsApr 20, 2026
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10
“Alright. Number 10, New York Giants newly acquired pick from the Cincinnati Bengals... I'm not saying, but I'm saying this is gonna be Jordan Tyson.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsApr 20, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Number two, I'm not buying the David Bailey smoke... We're going Arvell Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
“18, Minnesota Vikings... but it's still in Theaman... So, I have him going there at 18.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateCleveland BrownsApr 20, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“Hi, Browns at six... Because Carnell Tate is just he doesn't drop passes... you for sure found one here at number six overall.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveTennessee TitansApr 20, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Number four, it's Jeremiah Love, the Tennessee Titans.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainDallas CowboysApr 20, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 12
“Pick 12. Dallas cowboys... It's Ruben Bayne junior. The Miami defensive end falls all the way down here to 12”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqBaltimore RavensApr 20, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“and so Kenyan Sadiq comes off the board here at fourteen.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonCleveland BrownsApr 20, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 24
“On to '24... I'm gonna go Ty Simpson, though, the Alabama quarterback.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksMax IheanachorDallas CowboysApr 20, 2026
Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 20
“Dallas Cowboys at 20... So I'm going Maxie short here, the Arizona State right tackle.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Max Iheanachor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 21
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyNew York JetsApr 20, 2026
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16
“16, New York Jets... You can't wait and get a guy like Jermaine McCoy, the Tennessee quarterback. So that's where I'm going here.”
Miss · 3Scored 2.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.52
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22
“if Vega Yolani's on the board for the chargers with their need at guard, yeah, that one is an obvious pick... this one makes too much sense for the charges to pass on in 22.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 30
“Number 30, Miami Dolphins... Why have them going Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the Toledo safety here”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 29.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 29.73
- predicted pick:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneNew Orleans SaintsApr 20, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
“Alright. The number eight overall pick, New Orleans Saints on the clock. I've kept not straying too far for this team and going Monsieur D'Alene”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.81
- Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperApr 20, 2026
Omar Cooper to be picked “before the Eagles pick at 23”
“I also if I had to bet, I think Cooper might come off the board before the Eagles”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Ross JacksonScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 38Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Houston TexansMiss · 24Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Rogers predicted the Bills would beat the Lions in their new stadium on Thursday night, winning by a touchdown.
- Phil SimmsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility.
- Mary Kay CabotTrade and Signing Calls · Za'Darius SmithMiss · 0Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Francis MauigoaHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Steve MenschMock Draft Picks · Caleb LomuClose · 62Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17.