Ryan FowlerApr 29, 2023
Fowler ranks the top 10 quarterbacks eligible for the 2024 NFL Draft, with Caleb Williams first and expected to go No. 1 overall, and Drake Maye warranting a top-two pick. They also predict Jordan Travis as a sneaky Heisman pick.
Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original
What Ryan Fowler said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHe's expected to hear his name called first overall next spring.
- Where it was published
- The Draft Network
- The piece
- NFL Draft 2024: Top 10 QB Rankings - Draft Network
- The original
- The copy as archived May 14, 2023
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidApr 29, 2023
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Drake Maye to be picked “top-two pick” (picks 1–2)“has the arm strength, accuracy, IQ, and dual-threat talent to warrant a top-two pick”
- 2Caleb Williams to be picked at number 1“He's expected to hear his name called first overall next spring.”
- 3Top Player Lists“2024 NFL Draft QB Rankings: 1. Caleb Williams (USC) ... 10. Spencer Rattler (South Carolina)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye to be picked “top-two pick” (picks 1–2)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 3 | 95.76 | 50 | — | |
| Caleb Williams to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| “2024 NFL Draft QB Rankings: 1. Caleb Williams (USC) ... 10.…”3 | Top Player Lists | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting | 97.9 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 97.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Drake Maye to be picked “top-two pick” (picks 1–2)
What happenedWent 395.76Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2023
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top-two pick (picks 1–2)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Caleb Williams
- season:
- 2023
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“2024 NFL Draft QB Rankings: 1. Caleb Williams (USC) ... 10. Spencer Rattler (South Carolina)”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
97.9naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Drake Maye · Hit 100
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.