Mitchell Eisenstein· Oct 21, 2026
Eisenstein picked Atlanta to upset the 49ers and went with Seattle, Detroit, New England, the Raiders, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Carolina, the Jets, Denver and Dallas across Week 7, with a top-five power ranking topped by San Francisco.
“I'm putting the San Francisco 49ers on upset alert this weekend.”
said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks, 6 score predictions and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 57.7 out of 100, against 41 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bears 23 calls
- Steelers at Saints 24 calls
- Dolphins at Jets 62 calls
- Bengals at Ravens 15 calls
- 49ers at Falcons 26 calls
- Colts at Vikings 19 calls
- Buccaneers at Panthers 11 calls
- Broncos at Cardinals 13 calls
- Rams at Raiders 24 calls
- Packers at Lions 21 calls
- Chiefs at Seahawks 23 calls
- Cowboys at Eagles 31 calls
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysOct 21, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Eagles
“All right, I'm taking Dallas... Give me Dallas by a touchdown in Philly.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 38-21
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%).
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksOct 21, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 20 — Kansas City Chiefs 19
“Seattle comes out on top in a tight one, 20-19.”
Close · 62Scored 61.9a naive guess scored 58.69+5.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 5.36
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 61.9
- baseline:
- 58.69
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3, total 43.5 · this 20–19 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 1) and fewer points (39).
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 21, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Arizona Cardinals
“I look for them to turn things around this week in Arizona. Give me Denver as well.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-16
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 2 in 3 (67%).
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 21, 2026
Detroit Lions 31 — Green Bay Packers 24
“Give me the Lions at home, 31-24.”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 92.03-2.59 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- −2.59
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 92.03
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 7
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 7) and fewer points (55).
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersOct 21, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Rams
“I think the Raiders are going to win this game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 35-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%.
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 21, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 27 — San Francisco 49ers 24
“But give me Atlanta. Give me Atlanta, 27-24.”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 77.89+13.06 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- 13.06
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 85.71
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 27–24 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 42%) and more points (51).
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersOct 21, 2026
Carolina Panthers to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I like Bryce Young to take care of business... Give me Carolina.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 43-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 21, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Indianapolis Colts
“I joined with you in Minnesota. I like them in this game, handedly, led by their defense.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%).
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensOct 21, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cincinnati
“I'm with you on that. If Lamar plays, it's Baltimore. If not, it's Cincinnati.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 35-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%.
- Score PredictionsNew York JetsOct 21, 2026
New York Jets 31 — Miami Dolphins 14
“I expect the Jets to win this one rather easily. Give me Geno and the Jets to win this one 31-14.”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 42.18-42.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- −42.61
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 42.18
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 17
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Jets win (by 17) and more points (45).
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 21, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — New Orleans 17
“I think it's going to be like 20 to 17, but I got Pittsburgh.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 35.04+96.56 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 16-10
- skill:
- 96.56
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 35.04
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 20–17 calls the line’s margin (Steelers by 3) and fewer points (37).
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 21, 2026
New England Patriots 24 — Chicago Bears 20
“I got New England in a close one. Give me them 24-20.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 86.37-68.7 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- −68.7
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 24–20 calls a Patriots win (by 4; the line gave the Patriots 42%) and fewer points (44).
- Power RankingsOct 21, 2026
“Pencil them in at number one for me. Number two, the Kansas city chiefs... Give me the Bills at three... Give me Minnesota at four... Patriots occupy the number five spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Parker HurleyTrade and Signing Calls · Jessie BatesMiss · 0Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.