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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 26, 2026

Eisen agreed that Matthew Stafford will win MVP after the best year of their career.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Matthew Stafford wonWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I think he's gonna be the MVP.
Our reading: Matthew Stafford to win MVP
The episode
AFC/NFC Championship Games & Steelers Hire Mike McCarthy
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 26
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedMatthew Stafford won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.