Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 13, 2025

Brockman argued the Chiefs are rolling and Mahomes is at an MVP level, said Baker Mayfield is the NFL MVP with Tampa Bay claiming the NFC's No. 1 seed, insisted the Patriots will win a playoff game this postseason, and claimed a team other than the Eagles takes the NFC East.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · all settled

33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 3Settlednone still waiting

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.

Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 6: Chiefs are Back! Who are the Lions?? Mayfield MVP! Ravens Should Tank
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 13, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed“Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.”
2New England Patriots to make the playoffs“Turns out, I was two weeks too early behind MVP level play from Drake May. The Patriots are gonna win a playoff game.”
3Baker Mayfield to win MVP“Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Skill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed¹	Seeding, Byes and Home Field	—	0	0
New England Patriots to make the playoffs²	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	+172
Baker Mayfield to win MVP³	Award Picks	Matthew Stafford won	0	0
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · all settled			33.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Seeding, Byes and Home Field Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
missed the playoffs
difficulty:
1.72
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
13
Think this is wrong?
2Playoff Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
172
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
13
Think this is wrong?
3Award Picks Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Baker Mayfield
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2025
who won:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
33.3naive 0