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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
576–600 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
And we're speaking of the Raiders. They're gonna be back in the playoffs next year. Pete Carroll, Chip Kelly now running the offense.
Bo Nix to win Rookie of the Year
I said, Bo Nix is the best quarterback of this draft class and will win Rookie of the Year.
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
Jaden Daniels is gonna have the commanders back in the final four next year.
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
Saquon Barkley is hands down the MVP of the twenty twenty four NFL season.
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
But he's gonna win offensive Rookie of the Year.
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
Jaden Daniels is the best rookie quarterback of all time, and he's going to the Super Bowl.
Washington Commanders to beat Detroit Lions
Jaden Daniels is gonna do what CJ Stroud couldn't last year. He's gonna beat the one seed.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Vikings
I chose the Rams to win this game on game day morning. ... I'm concerned that the Rams, if they win it, which I think they will
New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins
Mike Vrabel's gonna lead the Patriots to a winning record next year. Let's go. ... to say you're gonna be nine and eight next year
Jared Goff to win third in MVP voting
Goff Goff's gonna be third. I I I'm with you. I'll just push back and say this is an overreaction and say it's gonna be Goff.
Joe Burrow to win MVP voting top five
I think Burrow's gonna sneak in there.
Saquon Barkley to win MVP voting top five
He'll be he'll be in the top five.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
I think what I saw out of the Lions is the grit that would require them to actually, go to the Super Bowl... they have the smarts and they have the personnel somehow, some way to actually win this conference.
Baker Mayfield to win third in MVP voting
Your boy, Baker Mayfield. He's gonna finish third in the MVP voting.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
Bryce Young. The Panthers are gonna be the team to beat in the NFC South in 2025.
Josh Allen to win MVP
rookie quarterback against MVP quarterback, which is what I believe Josh Allen's gonna wind up being with all due respect to everybody else
Lamar Jackson to win MVP voting top five
let's let's just quickly here guess who the five final five are. Okay. Saquon? Should be. And Goff and Allen and Lamar.
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
I think the Vikings are going Super Bowl. That's not an overreaction.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Vikings
You don't think the Bucs can knock off the Vikings? They sure can.
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans. Easily, that could be your Super Bowl. Eagles, Ravens. 100.
Washington Commanders to win the division
Pittsburgh is not going to win the division, bud.
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
So the Vikings can 100% win that game in Detroit and get the week off ... And if they are healthy, they can absolutely make it to the Super Bowl.
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans.
Mike Vrabel to move to New England Patriots
They should blow it up and hire Mike Vrabel to build around Drake May.
Kevin O'Connor to win Coach of the Year
Kevin O'Connor locked up coach of the year. Right?