Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · May 26, 2025
Brockman predicts the Patriots win 10-plus games in the coming season for the first time since Tom Brady, floating a 10-7 record based on their schedule. They also expect Caleb Williams to make a massive leap and finish top five in MVP voting, which they agree implies an 11- or 12-win Bears season and Coach of the Year for Ben Johnson.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- The Patriots Will Win 10+ Games For The First Time Since Tom Brady
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMay 26, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year“You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.”
- 2Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins“That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.”
- 3New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins“The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.”
- 4Caleb Williams — MVP (top-five finish): top five MVP“Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year1 | Coach Award Picks | Mike Vrabel won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins2 | Season Win Totals | 11 | 100 | 15 | +170 | |
| New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins3 | Season Win Totals | 14 | 20 | 0 | +40 | |
| Caleb Williams — MVP (top-five finish): top five MVP4 | Award Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 40 | 5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 season win totals, 1 award pick and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 40 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Ben Johnson0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Ben Johnson
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Season Win TotalsChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
What happened11called 11100Hit · naive 15100this call−15a naive guess=85better than naive×2difficulty=+170skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 170
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15
- they said:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
What happened14called 1020Miss · naive 020this call−0a naive guess=20better than naive×2difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 40
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Award PicksCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears
Caleb Williams — MVP (top-five finish): top five MVP
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
40naive 5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.