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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.34% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 67 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
2801–2825 of 3,602
1,938 / 3,602
graded
1,664 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Tucker Kraft to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Do you think Craft can rise above that and have this kind of like top five ish tight end season. Speaker 3: I do
Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two in ADP)
he took Ricky pearsoll just I mean, I just knew it... to be fair, like I actually had him as my number one... I cannot agree more on Ricky Piersel.
Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost (he's outside the top twenty)
My number five. I'll go to quarterback first. I'm gonna go to Bryce Young... we might be looking at Bryce Young by the end of the year as a fringe QB one and he's outside the top twenty
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty eight in ECR)
It's Marvin Mims... now we're talking about Marvin Mims clearly is the number two and potentially having one hundred plus targets
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (It's about the five oh five is where he's going)
I don't care, frankly, that he is now going inside the fifth round... I just think he's really good. It's a great fit, and I think you're gonna be really happy with that pick.
Bryce Young to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
He's QB twenty two in ECR right now... I feel reasonably confident. Actually he's going to finish better than QB twenty two, assuming health
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
I genuinely think he's going to be a top fifteen receiver this year.
Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty seven in ECR)
But this is another one that I like, I really strongly agree with you, Jake on cedracle
Brian Robinson to move — “cut or traded”
So I am forecasting that Brian Robertson Junior is cut or traded.
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP)
Ricky Piersoll, Like he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP... I want to stay above consensus because I think the breakout is real and it's coming... this guy is heading for a huge season
Tucker Kraft to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
And if this all happens, that he could be sniffing like top five, top six type of production this year... the more like high end expectations for him is probably top five, top six
George Pickens to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.
George Pickens to outplay his draft cost (he's being drafted as a wide receiver three)
George Pickens, baby breakout season here... for a player that I'm comfortably ranking him aggressively as a wide receiver two and he's being drafted as a wide receiver three
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range)
Jaquori Crosskey Merritt... He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range... I have him at RB thirty two... he's in that fringe RB two RB three conversation
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three)
I've got him as a wide receiver two, he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three. And it's Tedo McMillan.
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (going is the tight end eleven)
it's Tucker Craft. I mean, going is the tight end eleven... he's gonna have a massive breakout season
Josh Simmons to be 1st on the depth chart
I think the Chiefs getting Josh Simmons at pick thirty two as a potential franchise left tackle is as big of an offseason move as any team made.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations
there is one bet that I think the odds are going to shift because I think this team is going to become a popular sleeper pick... And that is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
the Browns are a team that I believe is going to make the play playoffs... And that is the Las Vegas Raiders... So the Raiders plus three point thirty to make the playoffs. That is my early first NFL season long Bet
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins
that team absolutely can get to nine or ten wins and sneak into the playoffs
If you're here, is what my ranking would look like. If I were doing it, I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him, Jaden Daniels eight, Baker And then it gets trickier.
Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins
could I see the Lions going from fifteen to two and the one seed to ten and seven in a wild card? Absolutely?
Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's going to be the number one wide receiver on this team, at least out of the gates.
Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson