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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
301–325 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
because I do have the Ravens going to the Super Bowl this year
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
So you have Chicago to win the NFC, which is like 8%. Okay, yeah. So yeah, they're going to come out of the NFC.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
I think Philly is worth it at 12% and the Seahawks are worth it at 16%. And so you're getting, you know, around five and a half to one on Seattle.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
I like Kansas City. They are the favorite to win the division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
The Bucs at 35%. ... I still believe in Tampa.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
And then in the NFC West, another 35%. And that is Seattle. ... I think Seattle has earned favorite status
Houston Texans to win the division
I have the Bills, the Ravens, the Texans, and the Chiefs winning their division.
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
I am picking two teams to win the NFC ... He's got the Eagles at 12% and then the Seahawks at 16%.
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
So, I have the Chiefs in the AFC.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
So Baltimore, even though I'm only getting plus 113, Baltimore to win the AFC North.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I have the Bills, the Ravens, the Texans, and the Chiefs winning their division.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys
if you guys beat Dallas at home in week three, I just don't see any, it's going to be very hard for you not to start 6-0
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
I have the Eagles who won it last year, the Lions who came in last last year technically, the Bucs who should have won it but didn't, and the Seahawks repeating as division champions.
Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed
when we did the AFC win totals, I said I have the Ravens having the number one seed in the AFC
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
I think the chiefs are going to win week one in Denver or at home against Denver and set the tone for the entire division
Detroit Lions to win the division
they are my pick to win the NFC North, but I'm not going to put money behind it
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
So I think 6-0 start can win, did I say 13 or 14 games? 13 games and be the one seed.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
in a trilogy part three chiefs Eagles in the Superbowl is my official pick and Kansas city wins the rubber match
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 9–10 wins
So to me, they're probably 9-10 wins because I think their defense is going to be so awesome.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
I'm going to give the Niners the edge over the Eagles... And I got the Rams, Bears, and Niners in my wildcard.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
But I love the Bengals this year. I love them... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans...
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.
Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year
But I'm taking Will Anderson... I think defensive player of the year.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
AFC East. I'm just betting on Josh Allen until I'm wrong... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.