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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
651–675 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Tae Johnson to outplay his draft cost (End of year draft)
Johnson's a sneaky play. End of year draft. Just grab this kid.
Chris Godwin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
And a guy I love upside, Chris Godwin. No one's talking about him... So in this range, I love that value.
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (rounds four and five)
Give me my guy, Luther Burden. This is exactly where you want to take him. You're not paying a premium anymore because of the injury.
Michael Pittman to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
for me, I'm passing on Pittman. He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (Eighth, ninth round)
People are loving this kid for the 49ers, which I am all in on him as well.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (a back-end first-round pick)
My guy is Barkley. I just think in this new offense, he's a first-round pick to me... I think Saquon, he's like a back-end first-round pick. That's great value
A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
if he stays healthy, if that knee holds up, I just can't see a world where AJ doesn't finish top five, top six and wide receiver fantasy points.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
A guy I'm down on, it's got to be Skadabo... But taking him to the fourth, fifth round, that feels a little too rich for Skadaboo.
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
A guy I'm avoiding just because of what this price is, Tate. Who is taking Tate for Tennessee?... There's no world I see an upside of Tate being worth his draft value here.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
All in on DJ Moore... Now he's kind of moved up, Chad, to the fourth, fifth round.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
fade rice. I'm locked up with Derek here.
Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
I believe in the upside being Green Bay's true wide receiver one this year
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round)
He's, he's finally moved up to the fourth round... I think he has top, top three round value Swift on the bears.
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (round 10)
people are sleeping on Dallas Goddard... it's just where I think the value is in this draft is Kincaid and then Goddard the round after.
Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I am not drafting Josh Downs. I don't think they can win on the outside. I think Keenan Allen is going to capsize his target volume
Nick Nash to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
Guy I'm avoiding, I can't take pickings in the second round... Pickens ain't returning a second round value to you.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
People have been drafting the Eagles receiver Lemon in this round, Chad... So I am out on lemon. I'd much rather have Wicks at cost.
Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's the real wide receiver one from Los Angeles chargers.
Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart
Dontavion Wicks is the clear wide receiver two for Philly.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
I mean, I could easily shout out Mark Andrews. I think that he's cooked at this point in his career.
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
Gwen Johnson is my call out here. I think he's the real wide receiver one from Los Angeles chargers.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round two)
Chase Brown, I'm all in on... So I'm all in on Chase Brown
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)
Quinn Sean Judkins as a top 24 running back on a horrible Cleveland Browns offense. Uh, no, thank you.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)
And for all the reasons by Kyler Murray, I'm out on Justin Jefferson in the first round.