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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
626–650 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (Eighth, ninth round)
People are loving this kid for the 49ers, which I am all in on him as well.
Tae Johnson to outplay his draft cost (End of year draft)
Johnson's a sneaky play. End of year draft. Just grab this kid.
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
I think Kincaid's a nice pick here... Kincaid this late to be your tight end one. The upside is there.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
Walker's arrival and his upside in the passing game, I think is going to ding Rasheed Rice a little bit... And the guy that I'm avoiding like the plague is where she rice.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)
I think DJ Moore is going to crush him Buffalo... the guy that I will garner again... DJ Moore, the Stefan new Stefan digs for the Buffalo bills.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
All in on DJ Moore... Now he's kind of moved up, Chad, to the fourth, fifth round.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
I could shout out Chuba Hubbard. No, thank you.
A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
if he stays healthy, if that knee holds up, I just can't see a world where AJ doesn't finish top five, top six and wide receiver fantasy points.
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
A guy I'm avoiding just because of what this price is, Tate. Who is taking Tate for Tennessee?... There's no world I see an upside of Tate being worth his draft value here.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
People have been drafting the Eagles receiver Lemon in this round, Chad... So I am out on lemon. I'd much rather have Wicks at cost.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (a back-end first-round pick)
My guy is Barkley. I just think in this new offense, he's a first-round pick to me... I think Saquon, he's like a back-end first-round pick. That's great value
Nick Nash to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
Guy I'm avoiding, I can't take pickings in the second round... Pickens ain't returning a second round value to you.
Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (the 10th round)
It's just Jacobs for me. He's undraftable. It doesn't even matter if it's the 10th round in my opinion.
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)
All in on Chris Alave, wide receiver 12 price tag... So we are undervaluing Chris Alave and his upside.
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
I think DeJuan Stribling is young enough that he can fight the substation... one wide receiver I am not drafting and one that I like.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I'm out on Lemon at cost... he is going to force Makai Lemon into a very Luther Burden-esque rookie season where he has trouble getting on the field
Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)
My guys in round 10, Kenny Gainwell... If he could just be better Rashad White, I think he's going to crush this year.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (a seventh, eighth-round pick)
Gian Hurts right now, Chad, is like a seventh, eighth-round pick... He's another guy that's a good value.
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
But Aaron Jones is the low-hanging fruit. I just don't think he can hold up with the hamstrings and the volume anymore.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
Baker, 40-1 MVP. Mad Baker Mayfield. No way I'm not taking a taste of that.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
I think they're going to roll him right into the Joe Mixon role. Just absolutely ride him this year... I don't have any questions about who's getting the red zone work in Houston. I think it's 10 toes down, David Montgomery.
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
There's a crap ton of guys that I'm avoiding in this round. I could shout out Alec Pierce.
Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I am not drafting Josh Downs. I don't think they can win on the outside. I think Keenan Allen is going to capsize his target volume
Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart
Dontavion Wicks is the clear wide receiver two for Philly.