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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
676–700 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Chris Godwin Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
And that offense, with that offensive line, I think he could be the number one receiver.
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
But Aaron Jones is the low-hanging fruit. I just don't think he can hold up with the hamstrings and the volume anymore.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
Baker, 40-1 MVP. Mad Baker Mayfield. No way I'm not taking a taste of that.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
A guy I'm down on, it's got to be Skadabo... But taking him to the fourth, fifth round, that feels a little too rich for Skadaboo.
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
There's a crap ton of guys that I'm avoiding in this round. I could shout out Alec Pierce.
Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)
My guys in round 10, Kenny Gainwell... If he could just be better Rashad White, I think he's going to crush this year.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I'm out on Lemon at cost... he is going to force Makai Lemon into a very Luther Burden-esque rookie season where he has trouble getting on the field
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
I think they're going to roll him right into the Joe Mixon role. Just absolutely ride him this year... I don't have any questions about who's getting the red zone work in Houston. I think it's 10 toes down, David Montgomery.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (round six)
The guy I'm avoiding like a plague, Mike Evans... So Mike Evans, I just, there's other guys that are rather taking this range than him.
Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
I'm going to go with the Bears here reluctantly... I'll go Bears favored by two and a half.
Houston Texans to beat Bills
I'm going with the Texans here... So I've got the Texans winning this game. I'm surprised they're getting a point and a half at home.
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets
Jets-Titans in the Robert Sala revenge game. Sala gets revenge and Titans beat my Jets.
Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl
I'm you guys know I got the Texans in the Super Bowl.
Caleb Williams to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
As long as he gets some consistent downfield accuracy, he could be one of the five best quarterbacks in the NFL.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 11–12 wins
Yeah. I think that's an 11 or 12 win team. I'm I'm with you.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Niners
So this is a pick. I'm going with the Rams here, favored by three and a half, mostly because I don't know who's going to play for the Niners.
Joe Burrow to win MVP
Because I actually bet Burrow to win the MVP this year, like plus 850 or something like that.
Detroit Lions to beat Saints
I'll take the Lions favored by six and a half.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons
Falcon Steelers. I went chalky here. I went Pittsburgh favor by three... I'll take the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers.
Joe Burrow to win MVP
Because I actually bet Burrow to win the MVP this year, like plus 850 or something like that.
Detroit Lions to beat Saints
I'll take the Lions favored by six and a half.
Houston Texans to beat Bills
Then the real good game, Bill's Texans... I've got the Texans winning this game.
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets
Sala gets revenge and Titans beat my Jets... I'll take the Titans.
Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
So under three, I'm going to go with the Bears here reluctantly... I'll go Bears favored by two and a half.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Niners
Next up, Niners Rams. This is next Thursday in Australia... I'm going with the Rams here. Favorite by three and a half