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2026 Ohio gubernatorial election

Governors · November 3, 2026 · not yet held

The ballot

Beside the pundits

Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.

The market · Polymarket · October 3, 2026

  • Amy Acton65¢
  • Vivek Ramaswamy35¢

A price in cents is the market's probability. Prices move; this is the day's close as we read it.

The polls · VoteHub · 3 polls in 21 days · through September 27, 2026

  • Amy Acton48.9%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy44.3%
  • Donald Kissick4.2%

Amy Acton by 4.6 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.

The 12 most recent polls
PollsterDatesSampleResult
Marist University2026-09-24 – 2026-09-271298 RVAmy Acton 50% · Vivek Ramaswamy 44%
Suffolk University · for USA Today2026-09-23 – 2026-09-27500 LVAmy Acton 50% · Vivek Ramaswamy 41% · Donald Kissick 3%
Big Data Poll · for Public Polling Project2026-09-26 – 2026-09-27680 LVVivek Ramaswamy 47.9% · Amy Acton 46.8% · Donald Kissick 5.3%
Wedgewood Polls2026-08-11 – 2026-08-13800 LVAmy Acton 47% · Vivek Ramaswamy 46%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · for Fox News2026-08-06 – 2026-08-101008 RVVivek Ramaswamy 50% · Amy Acton 48%
The New York Times/Siena University2026-06-15 – 2026-06-28601 LVVivek Ramaswamy 47% · Amy Acton 47%
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research · for AARP2026-06-14 – 2026-06-16800 LVAmy Acton 47% · Vivek Ramaswamy 44%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · for Fox News2026-05-28 – 2026-06-011015 RVAmy Acton 50% · Vivek Ramaswamy 49%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov2026-04-07 – 2026-04-141000 RVVivek Ramaswamy 48% · Amy Acton 47%
Echelon Insights · for NetChoice2026-04-03 – 2026-04-09413 LVVivek Ramaswamy 49% · Amy Acton 44%
Quantus Insights2026-03-13 – 2026-03-14809 LVAmy Acton 45.9% · Vivek Ramaswamy 44.9%
EMC Research · for Ohio Environmental Council2026-02-10 – 2026-02-221343 LVAmy Acton 53% · Vivek Ramaswamy 43%

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Sep 20Sep 27Oct 4
Vivek Ramaswamy 1· 1 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Every claim about this race (1)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.