Buck Sexton· Sep 17, 2026
Sexton predicts Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate races, that Susan Collins and Chris Sununu deliver wins in Maine and New Hampshire, that North Carolina flips to the Democrats, and that Vivek Ramaswamy pulls out a tighter-than-expected Ohio governor's race.
“I think we're going to win in Texas and Michigan, in my opinion. I think the GOP wins in Texas and Michigan.”
said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 6 race winners — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
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6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“I think we're going to win in Texas and Michigan, in my opinion. I think the GOP wins in Texas and Michigan.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“That's the one that I'm the most, I've said this before, I'm the most worried about that's going to be a flip for Democrats.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“So I think Collins and Sununu are the two likeliest that we have to give us big wins that no one's talking about.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“So I think Collins and Sununu are the two likeliest that we have to give us big wins that no one's talking about.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“He's obviously super rich and super articulate. So he is, I think, will make up the difference here. But that's going to be a much tighter race than it should be.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 17, 2026
“I think the GOP wins in Texas and Michigan. It will be super close in Michigan.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
More race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Erick-Woods EricksonRace WinnersHit · 100Writing as returns came in on election night, he declared that Republicans would control the Senate, with the size of the majority still unsettled, and said Jon Tester was expected to lose his Montana seat within hours.
- Erick-Woods EricksonRace WinnersHit · 100Writing on election night, he judged Trump to be on the brink of winning the presidency, and called Georgia and North Carolina for him.
- Carl CannonRace WinnersHit · 100Cannon said he half expects Republicans to take the Senate, treated the West Virginia seat as already lost to Democrats with Manchin leaving, and said Trump is poised to carry Ohio.
- Lanny DavisRace WinnersMiss · 0Davis argued that the closing campaign narrative turned negative for Trump, leaving him optimistic that Kamala Harris would win the presidency.
- Sam WangRace WinnersMiss · 0Live-blogging election night, Wang called Iowa for Trump by 12 points, said the presidential race was headed toward Trump, and read partial House returns as showing Democratic pickups in five districts and Republican pickups in two, with overall House control still undetermined.
- Steve DeaceRace WinnersHit · 100On Election Day, Deace said he believes Trump will win the presidency, and that rather than a split decision across the seven battleground states, one candidate will sweep five, six or all of them. He also took the 'over' on Trump exceeding his 2016 popular-vote share of 46%.