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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,385
graded
1,466 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3226–3250 of 4,385
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9
Kan City Chiefs, Jeremiah Love
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 14
Baltimore Ravens, Ruben Bain from Miami
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
I think Sonny Styles is likely gonna be a top 10 pick in this draft class after he tests because he could run the four threes.
Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)
So those two things, that ability to accelerate, the ability to attack the football, I would bet after this, he's a top 50 pin.
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”
Probably not gonna get into the top 100 because he's only two seventy five, but a nice intriguing day three pass rusher.
Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
Strong linebacker class, I would bet he is somewhere in the top 100 picks after that tape.
Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
And especially after Amari Watson decided to return to school, I think he is gonna go in the first round. McDonald's gonna go in the first round.
Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”
But I think around, like, late day two, early day three, a guy like Nadame Tucker can come in and immediately be a pass rush help for a lot of teams.
Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”
I don't think he's gonna be a day two guy. I think maybe, like, early day three because, again, there's just the size is going to be a big issue.
Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 132
Next up, jumping to the fourth round, pick one thirty two. I went with ... Auburn offensive lineman Jeremiah Wright.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 42
We got Akeem Messador at round two pick 42.
Malachi Fields to be picked at number 73
So at, round three, pick 73, we land Malachi Fields out of Notre Dame.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
We go round one, pick eight for the New Orleans Saints, Jeremiah Love.
Lander Barton to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
Let's finish up the fifth round here after we take Bud Clark ... we're going Lander Barton, the linebacker out of Utah.
Jeffrey M'ba to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)
We're gonna wrap up here in the sixth round ... and that's Jeffrey Mbah.
Bud Clark to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
two in the fifth round ... I wanna start off with TCU safety, Bud Clark.
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 136
in round four, pick one thirty six. I'm going with Houston tight end Tanner Cazio.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
I feel really good about Akeem Sador, if I'm being honest... I I feel pretty good with the key messador there.
Zxavian Harris to be picked at number 148
I I also like Xavien Harris, at this place... (round five, pick one forty eight)
Ted Hurst to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)
the Saints pick a couple of picks later also in the fourth round... We went Ted Hurst.
Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
And if you don't if you're somebody that's like, hey. He's an LSU player, there's no way that the Saints pick him... that's kind of what we did here with Ted Hurst and Aaron Anderson.
Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
Aaron Anderson is around. Pick them. Pick them. I I I like it. Let's do it.
Bryce Boettcher to be picked “Sixth round pick” (picks 182–216)
I'd say we round it out with one more senior bowl guy. Sixth round pick, Bryce Boacher.
Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
so we are here round, round five... Aaron Anderson is around. Pick them.
Ted Hurst to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)
If Ted Hurst is still there, I'd really consider it... We went Ted Hurst.
