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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,385
graded
1,466 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3251–3275 of 4,385
Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
I am fine going with key Mesidore. I think he's a very good player... A key Mesidore, 67 pressures, 13 sacks.
Zxavian Harris to be picked at number 148
now we're here round five, pick one forty eight... I lean Xavier and Harris here
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “round four”
Keelan Rutledge is here at in round four... if you get Keelan Rutledge, you don't pass it up.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
I think we'd go Mesidore. Let's do it.
Bryce Boettcher to be picked “Sixth round pick” (picks 182–216)
I I'm all about Bryce Boettcher. That dude plays mean and has really, really good athleticism.
Keonte Scott to be picked at number 73
we're here at at round three, pick 73... I'm partial to Keontay Scott because I wanted him last round.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
I think you stick and pick here, and I think at eight, I I gotta go Jordan Love... Jeremiah Love.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
I think it's it's hard to to fight going with Jeremiah Love... So I do want to side to Jeremiah Love
Keonte Scott to be picked at number 73
I'm cool with Keonte, Scott... I'm cool with going with Keonte Scott here.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
I didn't pick Jeremiah Love as soon as I saw that he was available... It's Jeremiah Love. (Saints pick at eight)
Keionte Scott to be picked at number 73
I'll go with Keontae Scott. I think that's a a solid pick at a valuable position
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “round four”
I I'm I'm Keelan Rutledge on this pick all day.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.
B.J. to be picked “going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals”
Falk is gonna go blow up the combine, and he's gonna end up, like, going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals because he's gonna have all these measurables.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I think everybody's gonna say the draft starts at two. You know, Mendoza to the Raiders feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “isn't gonna be on the board at nine”
I think that means that Jeremiah Love isn't gonna be on the board at nine when they pick. I I think I don't think he's gonna be there if I'm being honest with you.
Emmett Johnson to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
Emmett Johnson, the the Nebraska running back. I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.
Jadarian Price to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
Jadarian Price out of Notre Dame... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.
Jonah Coleman to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
There's Jonah Coleman from Washington who's very good... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.
Denzel Boston to be picked “later in the first round” (picks 1–32)
Denzel Boston is one of them from University of Washington, big physical, explosive, going to be there at that point later on in the draft, so later in the first round.
Blake Miller to be picked at number 29
with their next pick, I had him taking a tackle and Blake Miller out of Clemson
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
The Rams fans did not like not giving them a corner there at thirteen, but I had him taking Makay Leonard from USC
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
one one overall not a shock here in this month draft... Fantom Mendoza goes one... Every time somebody puts Fernando at number one to the Raiders
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
Ruben Bain Junior to the Chiefs at nine
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
Jeremiah Love do it all running back... He goes to the Saints at eight
