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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3551–3575 of 4,387
Matthew Golden to be picked at number 20
I feel like we have to give Sean Payton Matthew Golden.
Mike Green to be picked at number 17
I feel like that Mike Green in terms of tools and explosiveness, really makes sense to the Bengals in my mind
Will Johnson to be picked at number 16
I'd look at maybe a corner for them here, like a Will Johnson.
Will Campbell to be picked at number 13
Cun that's a no brainer. And also, Miami needs everything.
Mason Graham to be picked at number 11
So I think Graham would be the right pick for them.
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 10
The Bears are taking Tyler Warren, Wow Warren with Ben Johnson
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7
if we're picking tight end, I'd go Loveland for the Jets over Tyler Warren
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
Now I'm not picking him here, I'm picking up der Carter here.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
It is all but written on the card at this point.
Nick Emmanwori to be picked at number 30
Let's give him of the Bills at number thirty.
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 28
yeah let's go Calvin Banks. Then okay, he will go off the board to the Yes, Detroit Lions.
Jahdae Barron to be picked at number 24
I think this is where we stop the slide of Jaday bart Okay, let's put him there
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 19
I think that's a good pick and I think he would I think he would really thrive in this defense too.
Walter Nolen to be picked at number 31
to get just put him... we'll give Walter Nolan to the Chiefs
Nick Emmanwori to be picked at number 30
I want to give them nick Em and Worry because of his speed and they really need more juice back there.
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 28
yeah let's go Calvin Banks. Then okay, he will go off the board to the Yes, Detroit Lions.
Tyler Booker to be picked at number 25
Let's go Tyler Booker Guard. I'm just leaning towards DJ.
Jahdae Barron to be picked at number 24
I think this is where we stop the slide of Jaday bart Okay, let's put him there
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 19
I'm gonna push my cards in on Donovan as a rock.
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 22
No, I'm giving the Chargers o'mary and Hampton.
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 21
I owe you, Kenneth Grant. I think would make a lot of sense here let's do it.
Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18
I would not roll out a long look at Gray's Abel.
Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 15
I think Derek Carmon has all the tools, all the traits... I think that that's that would be an important pick for them.
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 14
I'm gonna go Michael Williams
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 8
I think I would want to pick Campbell for the Panthers.
