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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3576–3600 of 4,387
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
I's so fact I'm going to go with whatever you're saying on this... the Saints are taking Shador Sanders
Mason Taylor to be picked at number 32
all right, let's go for it. Thirty second pick Mason Taylor.
Walter Nolen to be picked at number 31
we'll give Walter Nolan to the Chiefs kind of as like the long term successor for Chris Jones
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 29
we are given Amika Abuka to the twenty ninth pick to the to the Commanders
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 27
I think Shamar Stewart, based on their depth chart, makes more sense for them. Yeah, let's put them here
Will Campbell to be picked at number 13
let's go Will Campbell because of how this board fell
Mason Graham to be picked at number 11
let's go Mason Graham with the eleventh overall pick
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 10
With a tenth pick, the Bear select Tyler Warren.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
Let's say at the chime, the Saints are taking Shador Sanders. I don't care if we're wrong, I just we're doing it.
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 6
The Raiders select Jalen Walker.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
let's at least have the conversation with the Giants. Abdul Carter, the edge... Do we agree on Abdul Carter here? We do
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
let's go to number two. It's it's the Browns... so just go to Travis Hunter.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
First on the clock, the Tennessee Titans... just saying cam word... It is all but written on the card at this point.
Armand Membou to be picked at number 4
Okay four? I will you know how I am with these things... but no, we're doing this.
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 27
I think Shamar Stewart, based on their depth chart, makes more sense for them. Yeah, let's put them here
Matthew Golden to be picked at number 20
Matthew Golden is the pick.
Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18
That's it. That's the pick. Graz abel
Will Johnson to be picked at number 16
Let's go Will Johnson.
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 14
we're taking Mikel Williams for the Colts
Jalen McMillan to be picked at number 12
Okay, we will go Teed McMillan t mac... at twelve.
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 22
No, I'm giving the Chargers o'mary and Hampton.
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 21
I owe you, Kenneth Grant. I think would make a lot of sense here let's do it.
Mike Green to be picked at number 17
Let's go Mike Green, Cincinnati Bengals.
Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 15
The Falcons are up... Derek Carmon really... Okay, let's just roll with that one.
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 8
Okay, let's go Jahad Campbell going early in this class.
