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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4226–4250 of 4,387
Abdul Carter to be picked “going one or two”
Is it is it Abdul Carter, or is it the Travis Hunter? They're probably the next two... And both very capable of going one or two.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
The Browns are taking Abdul. ... I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Carr because they have to replace that position.
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by the Browns (if Myles Garrett is traded)”
I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Car because they have to replace that position.
Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”
The Browns are taking Abdul.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “might go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round” (picks 1–102)
I look forward to seeing Jackson Dart, who I think is the first round talent at quarterback. I think he's underrated talent now, might go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round.
Mason Graham to be picked “top five player” (picks 1–5)
You might pass up on Mason Graham out of Michigan, who might be a top five player
Jaxson Dart to be picked “potential first round pick” (picks 1–32)
I would throw Jackson Darton here, who I think is going to gain some momentum as a potential first round pick.
Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 31
I mentioned it teased that Josh Connor and the tackle goes to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 2
so next Cleveland... they need to get they need an upgraded quarterback... I think absolutely cam Ward can eventually get to... So it's a cheap quarterback makes sense.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
First off, Tennessee Titans, first pick... So boom, I pump in Abdul Carter
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 24
Trayvon Henderson go into the Minnesota Vikings.
Will Johnson to be picked at number 11
So eleven Will Johnson to the Niners
Matthew Golden to be picked at number 30
Matthew Golden, one of my favorites in the draft or sever out of Texas. He goes to Buffalo.
Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 28
Detroit Donovan Jackson who can slide right in and replace Zeidler who's a free agent.
Darius Alexander to be picked at number 26
this is the one you tease this a little earlier about the Rams. Darius Alexander, big, long rangey athletic.
Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18
Uh, Seattle dressed the interior of the offensive line. I wish Gray is able could clone himself... there there he goes at eighteen
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 22
a maryin Hampton going next to the Chargers and again thinking playmakers not positions
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 21
The Pittsburgh Steelers taking Ashton Genty running back from Boise and State.
Jahdae Barron to be picked at number 17
We get keep it going here at seventeen one of my favorite players in the draft and Jaday... Baron from Texas... Their next pick for Cincinnati is forty nine.
Tyler Booker to be picked at number 13
thirteen. Miami's got to get better along the offensive line, especially in the interior. Tyler Booker, I love him as a player.
Mike Green to be picked at number 9
So the next one probably the earliest you've seen Mike Green from Marshall go... Kellen Moore being the being the coach there... but this gives him a proven pass rusher with production.
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7
Next I had speaking of Tyler Warren, Tyler Warren again, I think the second time in a row going to the Jets... that's a winner. Pick at seven.
Armand Membou to be picked at number 14
Membo from Missouri going to the Colts. He could start it right tackle when Braden Smith's days are done
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 29
And then Washington Jahad Campbell. I'm curious we see at the combine.
Walter Nolen to be picked at number 12
Walter Nolan a little bit higher than I had him, But this is ODIGAZOOA is a free agent, and so I'm like, Okay, well, who's an upfield disruptor and that's that's Walter Nolan from Old miss
