Loading…
Loading…
Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4201–4225 of 4,387
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type” (picks 1–64)
especially I've seen him more as a late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type
CJ West to be picked “a Round two three guy at the top... not a Round one guy and could end up being later”
So I think he's a Round two three guy at the top. He's not a Round one guy and could end up being later.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
makes me think, you know, he's first overall pick, material certainly since as you get to learn who he is
Kenneth Grant to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Grant's considered a first round prospect... he could be a first round
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
He should be the first pick in the draft. He's the best player in the draft.
Kyle McCord to be picked “a middle round pick”
Jordan Palmer came in and and and detailed exactly why he should not be slept on. He should be a middle round pick and has a chance to really start in the league.
Mason Graham to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)
He is a top five pick and I wouldn't be shocked if he goes even higher than that.
Tyler Warren to be picked “He will not escape the top ten” (picks 1–10)
I think he might go as high as top five. He will not escape the top ten.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
Ashton gent is one of the top running backs in this draft and will obviously be a first round. Pick
Jaxson Dart to be picked “towards the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
Dart is a good quarterback. He's a pocket passer ten years ago, Chad, he's probably a top five, top ten pick right now. You know, he's probably gonna be back towards the end of the first round
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
the Titans. They're better served, at least at this point, getting a bridge quarterback with one of the free agents and then potentially taking in my mock Travis Hunter. He's the most dynamic player, the one that's worth that first pick overall.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
Cynthia, you had Sanders ninth I think going to the Saints
Travis Hunter to be picked “no later than third overall”
Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
The Bags take Mason Graham defensive tackle out of Michigan.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 2
The Browns take cam Ward
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 9
Saints take Tyler Warren, the great tight end out of Penn State.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
The Titans Abdull Carter, Penn State linebacker or edge.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 7
The Jets take Shador Sanders.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
The Raiders get Ashton Genty
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
Patriots take Will Campbell offensive tackle
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
Giants take Travis Hunter
Will Johnson to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)
Will Johnson from Michigan. All three of those guys are potential first round picks with major medical concerns
Benjamin Morrison to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)
The the kid from Notre Dame, Ben Morrison... All three of those guys are potential first round picks with major medical concerns from injuries this past year.
Travis Hunter to be picked “going one or two”
Is it is it Abdul Carter, or is it the Travis Hunter? They're probably the next two... And both very capable of going one or two.
Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)
the Ravel kid from Carolina who's really intriguing. He tore his ACL and practice in September... All three of those guys are potential first round picks
