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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4251–4275 of 4,387
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
And then Jacksonville kicked around a lot of different ideas for them. I just ended up settling on Mason Gramm.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
The Giants... Now you get Travis Hunter to provide some excitement wherever you want to play him offense, defense.
Malaki Starks to be picked at number 32
And then finally the Philadelphia Eagles... I'm taking a safety... So yeah, Malachi starks
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 27
The Ravens Shamar Stewart... just big, long, physical, fast
Josh Simmons to be picked at number 23
The Green Bay Packers Josh Simmons... so I had him go to Green Bay
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 20
And then with Denver, I gave him the joker that they appear are wanting there, and that's that's a very talented tight end Coulston Levin.
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 16
Sixteen through twenty sixteen Arizona Cardinals Kenneth Grant
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 25
a Mecca Buka. He gets reunited with his college quarterback C J. Stroud Houston.
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 10
How about let's get to number ten Chicago Kelvin Banks.
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 8
Yeah, So that's why I went there, Carolina... Now we go get somebody on the other side of the ball here in Jalen Walker
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 6
And this is where we get to the Raiders... I put Shudoor Sanders there, Chip Kelly coming in there... But that's why I have a six
Jalen McMillan to be picked at number 19
And then I've got McMillan, Ted McMillan from Arizona, the big wide receiver... And with Tampa with Chris Godwin, a free agent
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drops”
I think Shador Sanders drops.
Kyle McCord to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)
I do believe that a Riley Leonard Kyle McCord in the second to third round could actually end up falling to good teams and actually being decent franchise quarterbacks.
Riley Leonard to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)
I do believe that a Riley Leonard Kyle McCord in the second to third round could actually end up falling to good teams and actually being decent franchise quarterbacks.
Cam Ward to be picked “first round picks” (picks 1–32)
Cam Ward and Shadoor Sanders are both probably gonna be first round picks based on everyone that I've spoken to here.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “first round picks” (picks 1–32)
Cam Ward and Shadoor Sanders are both probably gonna be first round picks based on everyone that I've spoken to here.
Cam Ward to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)
And a lot of people think he'll be a top five pick.
Quinn Ewers to be picked “a second or third round pick” (picks 33–102)
I wouldn't be surprised if some somebody got word to them that, like, hey. You can be a second or third round pick.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “gone within the top five picks” (picks 1–5)
and if it, you know, with everything being said, he should be gone within the top five picks
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
But I will say about Penn State Abduall Carter that rush end. If he's healthy, John, if he got drafted number one. I don't think it's crazy. I think he's so good.
Bryce Young to be picked “future top ten pick in a couple of years” (picks 1–10)
His son Bryce, who I would bet on number thirty, the six foot seven pass rusher who's a backup right now, who's a true freshman being a future top ten pick in a couple of years.
Kyle McCord to be picked “third round quarterback” (picks 65–102)
but Riley Leonard McCord out of Syracuse I think will end up being I think he'll end up being like a third round quarterback that sticks in the league for a long time. Kyle McCord is
Travis Hunter to be picked “two or three”
And I think the the Patriots are gonna choose two or three, and you're still gonna get Travis Hunter anyway, and you'll be a very happy camper.
Will Johnson to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
And we didn't have Will Johnson who may be a top 10 pick. He's gonna be a top 10 pick in in the NFL.
