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Ronde BarberSep 6, 2022

Barber picked Tom Brady MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, George Pickens OROY, Travon Walker DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Kyle Shanahan Coach of the Year.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

0 of 7calls landed7 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 7Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Ronde Barber said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Ronde Barber, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published
The 33rd Team
The piece
2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

  1. SaidSep 5, 2022
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“T2. Steelers WR George Pickens (3 votes: Barber, Davis, Jennings)”
  2. 2Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“2. Jaguars edge rusher Travon Walker (4 votes: Barber, Lewis, Martz, Smith)”
  3. 3Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, ...)”
  4. 4Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year“1. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (6 votes: Barber, ...)”
  5. 5Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year“49ers coach Kyle Shanahan (1 vote: Barber)”
  6. 6Tom Brady to win Most Valuable Player“Buccaneers QB Tom Brady (1 vote: Ronde Barber)”
  7. 7Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year“1. Rams DT Aaron Donald (5 votes: Barber, ...)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year1Award PicksGarrett Wilson won000
Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year2Award PicksSauce Gardner won000
Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year3Award PicksGeno Smith won000
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year4Award PicksJustin Jefferson won000
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year5Coach Award PicksBrian Daboll won000
Tom Brady to win Most Valuable Player6Award PicksPatrick Mahomes won000
Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year7Award PicksNick Bosa won000
7 calls · 7 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksGeorge PickensPittsburgh Steelers

    George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled George Pickens
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    George Pickens
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Garrett Wilson
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksTravon WalkerJacksonville Jaguars

    Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Travon Walker
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Travon Walker
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Sauce Gardner
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Award PicksDerrick HenryTennessee Titans

    Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year

    What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Derrick Henry
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Derrick Henry
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Geno Smith
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year

    What happenedJustin Jefferson woncalled Jonathan Taylor
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jonathan Taylor
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Justin Jefferson
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Coach Award PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Kyle Shanahan
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Kyle Shanahan
    naive:
    the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Brian Daboll
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Award PicksTom BradyTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tom Brady to win Most Valuable Player

    What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Tom Brady
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tom Brady
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Patrick Mahomes
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Award PicksAaron DonaldLos Angeles Rams

    Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year

    What happenedNick Bosa woncalled Aaron Donald
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Donald
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Nick Bosa
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

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