Skip to main content

Rich GannonSep 6, 2022

Gannon picked Aaron Rodgers MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Christian Watson OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Frank Reich Coach of the Year.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

0 of 7calls landed7 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 7Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Rich Gannon said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Rich Gannon, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published
The 33rd Team
The piece
2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

  1. SaidSep 5, 2022
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: Cassel, Davis, Gannon, ...)”
  2. 2Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, ...)”
  3. 3Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year“1. Rams DT Aaron Donald (5 votes: Barber, Gannon, ...)”
  4. 4Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player“4. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (2 votes: Rich Gannon, Marvin Lewis)”
  5. 5Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year“1. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (6 votes: Barber, Gannon, ...)”
  6. 6Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year“T1. Colts coach Frank Reich (3 votes: Gannon, Wannstedt, Zimmer)”
  7. 7Christian Watson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“Packers WR Christian Watson (1 vote: Gannon)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year1Award PicksSauce Gardner won000
Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year2Award PicksGeno Smith won000
Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year3Award PicksNick Bosa won000
Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player4Award PicksPatrick Mahomes won000
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year5Award PicksJustin Jefferson won000
Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year6Coach Award PicksBrian Daboll won000
Christian Watson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year7Award PicksGarrett Wilson won000
7 calls · 7 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksAidan HutchinsonDetroit Lions

    Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Aidan Hutchinson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aidan Hutchinson
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Sauce Gardner
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksDerrick HenryTennessee Titans

    Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year

    What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Derrick Henry
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Derrick Henry
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Geno Smith
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Award PicksAaron DonaldLos Angeles Rams

    Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year

    What happenedNick Bosa woncalled Aaron Donald
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Donald
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Nick Bosa
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Award PicksAaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers

    Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player

    What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Aaron Rodgers
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Rodgers
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Patrick Mahomes
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year

    What happenedJustin Jefferson woncalled Jonathan Taylor
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jonathan Taylor
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Justin Jefferson
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Coach Award PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Frank Reich
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Frank Reich
    naive:
    the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Brian Daboll
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Award PicksChristian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

    Christian Watson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled Christian Watson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Christian Watson
    season:
    2022
    who won:
    Garrett Wilson
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.