Rich Gannon· Sep 6, 2022

Gannon picked Aaron Rodgers MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Christian Watson OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Frank Reich Coach of the Year.

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Sep 7, 2022) →

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Award Picks Aidan Hutchinson Detroit LionsSep 6, 2022
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: Cassel, Davis, Gannon, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aidan Hutchinson
season:
2022
winner:
Sauce Gardner
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Derrick Henry Tennessee TitansSep 6, 2022
Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2022
winner:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Aaron Donald Los Angeles RamsSep 6, 2022
Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year
“1. Rams DT Aaron Donald (5 votes: Barber, Gannon, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Donald
season:
2022
winner:
Nick Bosa
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Aaron Rodgers Green Bay PackersSep 6, 2022
Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player
“4. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (2 votes: Rich Gannon, Marvin Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2022
winner:
Patrick Mahomes
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis ColtsSep 6, 2022
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
“1. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (6 votes: Barber, Gannon, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2022
winner:
Justin Jefferson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award Picks Indianapolis ColtsSep 6, 2022
Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year
“T1. Colts coach Frank Reich (3 votes: Gannon, Wannstedt, Zimmer)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Frank Reich
naive:
the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2022
winner:
Brian Daboll
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Christian Watson Green Bay PackersSep 6, 2022
Christian Watson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Packers WR Christian Watson (1 vote: Gannon)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Christian Watson
season:
2022
winner:
Garrett Wilson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100
Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.

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Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

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