Michael Penix Jr.

QB · Washington; Indiana

47 checkable claims from 34 pundits. These are other people’s predictions about what he will do — we grade the prediction, never the player.

Page 2 of 2 — unsettled claims first, then the settled ones, newest first.

Settled · 7 on this page

Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chartSteven Ruiz · for 2026 · said Aug 27, 2026
“just ask Falcons fans how excited they are by the prospect of Michael Penix Jr. starting in Week 1 and then remind yourself that Cousins couldn't beat him out a year ago”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
week:
1
skill:
0
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2026
claimed:
he starts
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
reported:
he did not play that week
naive slot:
1
settled by:
weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he keeps the job he had last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chartBrandon Carney · for 2025 · said Feb 24, 2026
“Therefore, I am also gonna just assume they stick with Michael Pinnock.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
8.33
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chartPat Gustavson · for 2025 · said Feb 24, 2026
“I see no reason why they don't move forward with him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
8.33
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chartChris Brockman · for 2024 · said Dec 9, 2024
“The Falcons go to Pennicks. Have to start Michael Pennicks.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-10.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
-10.67
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.28
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chartRich Eisen · for 2025 · said Jun 23, 2025
“And Michael Penaics, obviously, is just he's gonna have his first ever week one start.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
16.67
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
Michael Penix Jr. to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measureColin Cowherd · for 2025 · said Mar 13, 2025
“I think Fennix has a chance to be the best quarterback in that division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
45
actual finish:
Michael Penix Jr. to be picked “early second round” (picks 33–64)Dan Pizzuta · for 2024 · said Apr 24, 2024
“Both are getting talked about as possible first-round picks, but they could see a Levis-like fall into the early second round.”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2024
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
33.86
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
33.86
predicted pick:
early second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called: