Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Barton SwaimOct 16, 2026

Swaim, quoted on the South Carolina Senate race, said the Republican appointee Graham Nordone is probably going to win even though they are in trouble.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Dispatch PodcastHear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Annie Andrews wonWhat happenedcalled Darline Graham
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Barton Swaim said

She's probably gonna win, But she's in trouble.
Our reading: Graham Nordone to win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina
Where it was said
The Dispatch Podcast
The episode
A Blue Wave or an Anti-Incumbent Wave?
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 16
  2. Election DayNov 3
  3. GradedNov 10

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Race Winners

    Graham Nordone to win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina

    What happenedAnnie Andrews woncalled Darline Graham
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.02difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    right:
    no
    race:
    2026-senate-sc
    election year:
    2026
    skill:
    0
    topic:
    elections
    held going in by:
    Republican
    result from:
    wikipedia-2026
    who won:
    Annie Andrews
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    race name:
    2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina
    decided in the:
    general
    they said:
    Darline Graham
    days before the vote when called:
    18
    difficulty:
    1.02
    the winner's party:
    Democratic
    the naive guess:
    the party holding the seat keeps it
    Election Day:
    2026-11-03
    the result is:
    called
    the party they named:
    Republican
    Think this is wrong?

The race in this take

every call on each
Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

More race winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.