Ryan Wormeli#52 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 23, 2025
Warmley ranks Nico Collins their WR4 and Drake London their WR5, argues Ja'Marr Chase should be the No. 1 fantasy player again, has Tetairoa McMillan inside their top 20 receivers, and says Emeka Egbuka could be a top-24 receiver.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
1 of 7calls landed1 hit · 4 close calls · 2 misses · all settled
45.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
26.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 7Settlednone still waiting
What Ryan Wormeli said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - Must-Have Fantasy Football Draft Targets | Expert Picks For EVERY ROUND! (Ep. 1663)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidAug 22, 2025
- GradedAug 7–19, 2026
- 1Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty in real time ADP)“he's why did she for thirty in real time ADP... he will be a value this season, assuming health. Like I'm extremely confident on that”
- 2Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP)“I don't understand why he's available in round five. I don't understand why his real time ADP is wide receiver twenty six”
- 3Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points“For me, he's inside the top twenty, probably inside the top eighteen. Honestly”
- 4Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
- 5Emeka Egbuka to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points“it would not shock me in the slightest given what's going on in that receiver room. If he's a top twenty four receiver this year”
- 6Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points“I don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.”
- 7Nico Collins to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty in real time ADP)1 | Sleeper Calls | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP)2 | Sleeper Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points3 | Positional Finishes | Finished #13 | 41.67 | 0 | +83.33 | |
| Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points4 | Positional Finishes | Finished #17 | 0 | 8.33 | −16.67 | |
| Emeka Egbuka to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points5 | Positional Finishes | Finished #18 | 50 | 0 | +100 | |
| Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points6 | Positional Finishes | Finished #5 | 66.67 | 66.67 | 0 | |
| Nico Collins to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points7 | Positional Finishes | Finished #9 | 58.33 | 8.33 | +100 | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 4 close calls · 2 misses · all settled | 45.2 | 26.2 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 5 positional finishes and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 26.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Sleeper CallsCalvin RidleyTennessee Titans
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty in real time ADP)
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver thirty in real time ADP
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Calvin Ridley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR112
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
2Sleeper CallsTetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
3Positional FinishesTetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #13called #20 · by fantasy points41.67Close · naive 041.67this call−0a naive guess=41.67better than naive×2difficulty=+83.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 20
4Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta Falcons
Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #17called #5 · by fantasy points0Miss · naive 8.330this call−8.33a naive guess=−8.33worse than naive×2difficulty=−16.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
5Positional FinishesEmeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers
Emeka Egbuka to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #18called #24 · by fantasy points50Close · naive 050this call−0a naive guess=50better than naive×2difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 24
6Positional FinishesJa'Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #5called #1 · by fantasy points66.67Close · naive 66.6766.67this call−66.67a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ja'Marr Chase
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
7Positional FinishesNico CollinsHouston Texans
Nico Collins to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #9called #4 · by fantasy points58.33Close · naive 8.3358.33this call−8.33a naive guess=50better than naive×2difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Nico Collins
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 20
- actual finish:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 4
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
45.2naive 26.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
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More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Positional Finishes · Puka Nacua · Close 75
Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver.Rich Hribar · Positional Finishes · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.Chris Brockman · Positional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Hit 100
Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.Ryan Tracy · Positional Finishes · Bryan Cook · Miss 0
Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.Pat Gustavson · Positional Finishes · Josh Allen · Miss 17
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots.Rich Eisen · Positional Finishes · George Pickens · Hit 100
Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said they don't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.