Ryan Wormeli· Aug 23, 2025
Warmley ranks Nico Collins his WR4 and Drake London his WR5, argues Ja'Marr Chase should be the No. 1 fantasy player again, has Tetairoa McMillan inside his top 20 receivers, and says Emeka Egbuka could be a top-24 receiver.
“I don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 5 positional finishes and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 26.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsCalvin RidleyTennessee TitansAug 23, 2025
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty in real time ADP)
“he's why did she for thirty in real time ADP... he will be a value this season, assuming health. Like I'm extremely confident on that”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver thirty in real time ADP
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Calvin Ridley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR112
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsTetairoa McMillanCarolina PanthersAug 23, 2025
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP)
“I don't understand why he's available in round five. I don't understand why his real time ADP is wide receiver twenty six”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“For me, he's inside the top twenty, probably inside the top eighteen. Honestly”
Close · 42Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 0+83.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 20
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsAug 23, 2025
Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
Emeka Egbuka to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“it would not shock me in the slightest given what's going on in that receiver room. If he's a top twenty four receiver this year”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 24
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“I don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 66.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ja'Marr Chase
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Positional FinishesNico CollinsHouston TexansAug 23, 2025
Nico Collins to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 8.33+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Nico Collins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 20
- actual finish:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 4
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 40Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 74Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Josh AllenMiss · 17Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonPositional Finishes · Christian GonzalezMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.