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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 6, 2025

Brockman was down on the NFC North playoff teams, saying the Vikings and Packers both go one-and-done, predicted Bryce Young's Panthers would be the team to beat in the NFC South in 2025, and pegged Baker Mayfield for a third-place finish in MVP voting.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Panthers are gonna be the team to beat in the NFC South in 2025.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Week 18: A Rookie Will Make it to Championship Weekend
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 6, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026
  1. 1Carolina Panthers to win the division“Bryce Young. The Panthers are gonna be the team to beat in the NFC South in 2025.”
  2. 2Baker Mayfield to win third in MVP voting“Your boy, Baker Mayfield. He's gonna finish third in the MVP voting.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Carolina Panthers to win the division1Division Winners—0100−100
Baker Mayfield to win third in MVP voting2Award Picks————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −100
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksBaker MayfieldTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Baker Mayfield to win third in MVP voting

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.