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Daniel WadeApr 8, 2026

Wade's version of the mock had the Chargers taking Clemson interior defensive lineman Peter Woods in round one, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas at No. 55 in round two, and Kentucky guard Jalen Farmer in round three.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chargers (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · all settled
69.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Daniel Wade said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I went with Peter Woods, the interior defensive line from Clemson.
Daniel Wade, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Chargers (podcast)
The episode
SURPRISE: Could Chargers Go Wide Receiver in Round One? | Full 3-Round Mock Draft
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidApr 8
  2. GradedAug 14–18
  1. 1Jalen Farmer to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)“That's Jalen Farmer, the Kentucky guard... as far as the third round picks goes, like, I thought he was super solid in pass protection.”
  2. 2Peter Woods to be picked “first round (Chargers at No. 22)” (picks 1–32)“I went a different direction in round one. I went with Peter Woods, the interior defensive line from Clemson”
  3. 3R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 55“it's our Mason Thomas, the edge from Oklahoma... You get him at 55, which I do think he's a flawed enough player to slide there.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jalen Farmer to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)1Mock Draft PicksWent 11356.9450—
Peter Woods to be picked “first round (Chargers at No. 22)” (picks 1–32)2Mock Draft PicksWent 2910050—
R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 553Mock Draft PicksWent 4052.2150—
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · all settled69.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 69.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round (picks 65–100)They said
113What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJalen FarmerLos Angeles Chargers

    Jalen Farmer to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    What happenedWent 113
    56.94Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jalen Farmer
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    113
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksPeter WoodsLos Angeles Chargers

    Peter Woods to be picked “first round (Chargers at No. 22)” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 29
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (Chargers at No. 22) (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksR Mason ThomasLos Angeles Chargers

    R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 55

    What happenedWent 40mocked at 55
    52.21Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    R Mason Thomas
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    40
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    55
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    69.7naive 50

Who this take is about

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