Marcus Mosher#41 of 87 NFL pundits · May 27, 2024
Mosher names three tight ends as 2024 breakout candidates: Luke Musgrave (whom they expect to be Green Bay's starting tight end), Jelani Woods (predicting 700-plus receiving yards and double-digit touchdowns), and Cade Otton.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
What Marcus Mosher said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromDon't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2024 NFL Predictions: Who Will Be This Year’s Breakout Tight Ends?
- The original
- The copy as archived May 28, 2024
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidMay 27, 2024
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Luke Musgrave to be 1st on the depth chart“The good news is that he is fully recovered and should be the starting tight end in 2024.”
- 2Jelani Woods to record 700 receiving yards“Don't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.”
- 3Jelani Woods to record 10 receiving tds“Don't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Musgrave to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 91.67 | 0 | |
| Jelani Woods to record 700 receiving yards2 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Jelani Woods to record 10 receiving tds3 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting | 91.7 | 91.7 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Depth Chart CallsLuke MusgraveGreen Bay Packers
Luke Musgrave to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by receptions91.67Hit · naive 91.6791.67this call−91.67a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Luke Musgrave
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Player Season NumbersJelani WoodsIndianapolis Colts
Jelani Woods to record 700 receiving yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Player Season NumbersJelani WoodsIndianapolis Colts
Jelani Woods to record 10 receiving tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
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More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Jihaad Campbell · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.