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Michael Middlehurst-SchwartzApr 14, 2026

In their one-round mock, Middlehurst-Schwartz has the Bills drafting Arizona State wide receiver Jordan Tyson at No. 26.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

46Close · out of 100
Went 8What happenedmocked at 26
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
45.85This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz said

Tyson still get could give the bill something they've lacked, a weapon capable of creating consistent separation on the outside.
Our reading: Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 26
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
Bills’ MOCK DRAFT Roundup: What ACTUALLY Makes the Most Sense for Buffalo in 2026 NFL Draft?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 14
  2. GradedAug 14

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 45.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
26They said
8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonBuffalo Bills

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 26

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 26
    45.85Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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