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Rob RangApr 14, 2026

Rang's mock, built around each team's biggest need, has the Bills taking Texas Tech linebacker Jacob Rodriguez at No. 26.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

48Close · out of 100
Went 43What happenedmocked at 26
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
47.88This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Rob Rang said

It would be a surprise to see Rodriguez go in the first round, but his instincts and playmaking ability would add an immediate jolt to the Bills' defense.
Our reading: Jacob Rodriguez to be picked at number 26
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
Bills’ MOCK DRAFT Roundup: What ACTUALLY Makes the Most Sense for Buffalo in 2026 NFL Draft?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 14
  2. GradedAug 14

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 47.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
26They said
43What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksJacob RodriguezBuffalo Bills

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked at number 26

    What happenedWent 43mocked at 26
    47.88Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jacob Rodriguez
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    47.88
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    43
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    47.88
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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