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Mina Kimes· Feb 23, 2026

Kimes projects Washington receiver Denzel Boston as a second-half-of-the-first-round pick and expects the Chargers to move on from Mekhi Becton.

“Denzel Boston out of Washington is a player I love, in terms of the second half of the first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mekhi Becton to move to Los Angeles Chargers

    “I think the chargers are most likely to move on from Makhi Becton.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Mekhi Becton
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    LAC
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → GB
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denzel Boston to be picked “the second half of the first round” (picks 1–64)

    “Denzel Boston out of Washington is a player I love, in terms of the second half of the first round, for a team like Baltimore that desperately needs red zone size”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    the second half of the first round (picks 1–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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