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Mel KiperFeb 25, 2025

As relayed by Dan Patrick, Kiper's mock draft has the Titans taking Abdul Carter, Browns taking Cam Ward, Giants taking Travis Hunter, Patriots taking Will Campbell, Jaguars taking Mason Graham, Raiders taking Ashton Jeanty, Jets taking Shedeur Sanders, and Saints taking Tyler Warren.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 8calls landed7 hits · 1 miss · all settled
83Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
8 of 8Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Mel Kiper said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Titans Abdull Carter, Penn State linebacker or edge. The Browns take cam Ward, Giants take Travis Hunter
Mel Kiper, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1 – NFL Combine Begins, Lakers/Mavs Preview
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 25, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3“Giants take Travis Hunter”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be picked at number 2“The Browns take cam Ward”
  3. 3Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1“The Titans Abdull Carter, Penn State linebacker or edge.”
  4. 4Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6“The Raiders get Ashton Genty”
  5. 5Tyler Warren to be picked at number 9“Saints take Tyler Warren, the great tight end out of Penn State.”
  6. 6Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 7“The Jets take Shador Sanders.”
  7. 7Will Campbell to be picked at number 4“Patriots take Will Campbell offensive tackle”
  8. 8Mason Graham to be picked at number 5“The Bags take Mason Graham defensive tackle out of Michigan.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 31Mock Draft PicksWent 295.7650+45.24
Cam Ward to be picked at number 22Mock Draft PicksWent 195.7650+45.24
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 13Mock Draft PicksWent 391.750+45.24
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 64Mock Draft PicksWent 610050+45.24
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 95Mock Draft PicksWent 1480.5250+45.24
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 76Mock Draft PicksWent 1440.2650+45.24
Will Campbell to be picked at number 47Mock Draft PicksWent 410050+45.24
Mason Graham to be picked at number 58Mock Draft PicksWent 510050+45.24
8 calls · 7 hits · 1 miss · all settled8350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 83 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterNew York Giants

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 3
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCam WardCleveland Browns

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 2
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterTennessee Titans

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 1
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 6
    100Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksTyler WarrenNew Orleans Saints

    Tyler Warren to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 14mocked at 9
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersNew York Jets

    Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 144mocked at 7
    0.26Miss · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.26
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Mock Draft PicksWill CampbellNew England Patriots

    Will Campbell to be picked at number 4

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 4
    100Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Will Campbell
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  8. 8Mock Draft PicksMason GrahamJacksonville Jaguars

    Mason Graham to be picked at number 5

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 5
    100Hit · naive 50
    95.24this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45.24better than naive1difficulty+45.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45.24
    player:
    Mason Graham
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95.24
    Think this is wrong?
  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once

    83naive 50

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