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HisDirknessJan 28, 2026

Dirk predicts the Patriots beat the Seahawks 17-13 in the Super Bowl and thinks D'Andre Swift will be a cap casualty released by the Bears.

Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
21.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
16.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What HisDirkness said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
patriots are gonna fucking win 1713 or something
HisDirkness, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
AHPKC 1/28: An Amateur's Guide to Pick No. 9 in the 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 28
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1New England Patriots 17 — Seahawks 13“It's gonna happen, and patriots are gonna fucking win 1713 or something.”
  2. 2D'Andre Swift to move to Chicago Bears“Deandre Swift, who I think will be a cut a cap casualty from the bears.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New England Patriots 17 — Seahawks 131Score Predictions—21.4316.73+4.7
D'Andre Swift to move to Chicago Bears2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting21.416.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 21.4 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots 17 — Seahawks 13

    VerdictMiss
    21.43Miss · naive 16.73
    21.43this call16.73a naive guess4.7better than naive1difficulty+4.7skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    4.7
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    21.43
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsD'Andre SwiftChicago Bears

    D'Andre Swift to move to Chicago Bears

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.