Pete Prisco· Sep 23, 2026
Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston.
“I have Tampa Bay beating Minnesota and Cleveland beating Carolina.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
17 checkable claims — 16 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
16 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 61.5 out of 100, against 65.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Falcons at Packers 11 calls
- Texans at Colts 11 calls
- Seahawks at Commanders 48 calls
- Jets at Lions 12 calls
- Chargers at Bills 22 calls
- Panthers at Browns 8 calls
- Bengals at Steelers 15 calls
- Titans at Giants 10 calls
- Chiefs at Dolphins 17 calls
- Patriots at Jaguars 16 calls
- Cardinals at 49ers 9 calls
- Vikings at Buccaneers 12 calls
- Raiders at Saints 15 calls
- Ravens at Cowboys 25 calls
- Rams at Broncos 25 calls
- Eagles at Bears 23 calls
17 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 23, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Bears 13
“The Eagles will limit the run game and win it behind their defense, with Jalen Hurts having a good day. Pick: Eagles 27, Bears 13”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 54.46-35.44 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 7-27
- skill:
- -35.44
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 54.46
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsSep 23, 2026
Buffalo Bills 32 — Chargers 23
“Pick: Bills 32, Chargers 23”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 82.07+29.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 16-24
- skill:
- 29.39
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 82.07
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 9
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsSep 23, 2026
Cleveland Browns 23 — Panthers 20
“The Browns take it in an upset. Pick: Browns 23, Panthers 20”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 93.97+11.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 18-21
- skill:
- 11.39
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 93.97
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsSep 23, 2026
Detroit Lions 28 — Jets 23
“Pick: Lions 28, Jets 23”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 84.45+20.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-31
- skill:
- 20.39
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 84.45
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 5
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksSep 23, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Commanders 13
“Seattle takes it. Pick: Seahawks 24, Commanders 13”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 96.35-128.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-33
- skill:
- -128.11
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 28.57
- baseline:
- 96.35
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 11
- Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsSep 23, 2026
New Orleans Saints 21 — Raiders 14
“Look for the Saints to look good in their home opener with Tyler Shough having another good day. Pick: Saints 21, Raiders 14”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 32.07+29.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 35-27
- skill:
- 29.39
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 32.07
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 23, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Dolphins 10
“Pick: Chiefs 28, Dolphins 10”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 17.78+137.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-10
- skill:
- 137.39
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 17.78
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 18
- Score PredictionsTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 23, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 — Vikings 20
“this one will be won by the Bucs defense. They finally step up. Pick: Bucs 21, Vikings 20”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 34.45+2.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 23-16
- skill:
- 2.39
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 34.45
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 1
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsSep 23, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Steelers 13
“look for the Bengals to play well again on that side of the ball as they go to 3-0. Pick: Bengals 23, Steelers 13”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 93.97-114.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-30
- skill:
- -114.61
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 93.97
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsSep 23, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 30 — Broncos 23
“Look for Matt Stafford and the Rams to win it. Pick: Rams 30, Broncos 23”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 91.59-92.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-30
- skill:
- -92.11
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 91.59
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsNew York GiantsSep 23, 2026
New York Giants 23 — Titans 14
“Look for the Giants to rally around him in Dart's absence. Pick: Giants 23, Titans 14”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 89.21+2.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 7-12
- skill:
- 2.39
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 89.21
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 9
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 23, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 33 — Cowboys 30
“I think Jackson rebounds to lead the Ravens to a high-scoring victory. Pick: Ravens 33, Cowboys 30”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.97+105.89 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 105.89
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 43.97
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersSep 23, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Cardinals 17
“49ers take it. Pick: 49ers 30, Cardinals 17”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 86.83-6.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-36
- skill:
- -6.61
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 86.83
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 13
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansSep 23, 2026
Houston Texans 31 — Colts 20
“The Texans get their first victory as the offense comes to life against the Colts. Pick: Texans 31, Colts 20”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 96.35-128.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-19
- skill:
- -128.11
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 28.57
- baseline:
- 96.35
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 11
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsSep 23, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 21 — Patriots 16
“The Jaguars get back on track in a lower-scoring game. Pick: Jaguars 21, Patriots 16”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 5
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersSep 23, 2026
Green Bay Packers 27 — Falcons 17
“Pick: Packers 27, Falcons 17”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 0+45 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 35-14
- skill:
- 45
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- -0.45
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago BearsSep 23, 2026
“the Bears will likely be without injured quarterback Caleb Williams and could be without backup Tyson Bagent (Monday night, Week 3)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsHit · 90Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 95Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsHit · 98Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles.
- Colin CowherdScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 98The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") made his own Week 3 picks, including blowout wins for Seattle and San Francisco, Cincinnati 27-17, Detroit 37-13, Denver 24-21 over the Rams, and predicted Jonah Coleman takes over the Broncos' running back role.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 48Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.