Ryan TracyMar 12, 2026
Ryan lays out their draft board and expectations for the edge and interior classes: Arbel Reese is their top edge ahead of David Bailey and Ruben Baine, all three likely gone before Kansas City's ninth pick (though they think Reese could slip to nine), with TJ Parker and Messador off the board before pick 40, Fano going early, Freeling around pick 29, and Caden McDonald their top defensive tackle.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Hear the original
What Ryan Tracy said
Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)
- The episode
- EDGE Priority: Kansas City Chiefs’ Draft Strategy – Who Will IMPACT at Picks 9 and 29?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 12
- GradedAug 14
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Position Order Calls | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Top Player Lists | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
How each call scored
11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Position Order Calls1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Cade McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board
“the interior and the defensive line, particularly Caden McDonald, who's my number one defensive tackle”
0MissThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- player:
- Cade McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- position:
- defensive tackle
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- undrafted
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mock Draft Picks9 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Carnell Tate to be picked “likely gone before No. 9”
“I personally have come around on he being as good as a wide receiver prospect at this point, knowing that Tate is likely gone.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”
“Now he and Messador are two guys that could be there, could be gone four picks before, or could be sitting there at 40. I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Arvell Reese to be picked “still available at No. 9”
“Is there a chance that somebody doesn't think that he's a top eight pick and they leave him there at nine... So I do think he is still in there”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties”
“From from what I've seen, he's more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties. But 20 a little rich for me.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Rueben Bain to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”
“He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Bailey to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”
“He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “right around this area (No. 29)”
“I do think that Freeling's probably gonna be right around this area.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”
“I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point, so 20 nine's gotta be the spot.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Top Player Lists1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
“Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. All of them very, very tight because Reiss is such a projection.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Ross Jackson · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 74
Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection.Lance Zierlein · Mock Draft Picks · Carnell Tate · Hit 96
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A seven-round Jets mock draft projecting New York to take Ohio State's Arvell Reese at No. 2 and Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson at No. 16, followed by Ty Simpson, Brandon Cisse, Jalon Kilgore, Tyreak Sapp, Kaelon Black, Fernando Carmona and Trebor Pena.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.