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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 27, 2025

Brockman argued Josh Allen will never reach a Super Bowl in Buffalo, that Mahomes is already the second-best QB ever, that Saquon Barkley is one Super Bowl win from the best RB season ever, and predicted Jayden Daniels will lead Washington back to the conference championship round next season. They also revisited their mid-November take that Bo Nix would win Rookie of the Year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Jaden Daniels is gonna have the commanders back in the final four next year.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode
NFL Conference Championship: Patrick Mahomes Is Already The 2nd Best QB Of All Time
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidJan 27, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Washington Commanders to make the playoffs“Jaden Daniels is gonna have the commanders back in the final four next year.”
  2. 2Bo Nix to win Rookie of the Year“I said, Bo Nix is the best quarterback of this draft class and will win Rookie of the Year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs1Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1000+100
Bo Nix to win Rookie of the Year2Award Picks————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Playoff PicksWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    100
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Award PicksBo Nix

    Bo Nix to win Rookie of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

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