Albert Breer#35 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 25, 2026
Breer says they would be stunned if Fernando Mendoza did not go No. 1 overall to the Raiders, and they flag Oregon tight end Kenyon Sadiq as a combine standout who could run in the 4.3s and jump 40 inches.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Albert Breer said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI would be stunned if he didn't go number one, right.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- THE HERD - Hour 2 - News coming from the NFL combine, who may move up in the draft, Albert Breer
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidFeb 25
- GradedAug 5–18
- 1Kenyon Sadiq to post he could run in the four threes at the combine“My understanding is if he decides to run, he could run in the four threes and he could jump forty inches.”
- 2Combine Measurements“if he decides to run, he could run in the four threes and he could jump forty inches”
- 3Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“I would be stunned if he didn't go number one, right. I think it's highly unlike that he goes anywhere but Vegas.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Sadiq to post he could run in the four threes at the combine1 | Combine Measurements | 4.39 | 64.56 | 20.76 | +43.8 | |
| “if he decides to run, he could run in the four threes and he…”2 | Combine Measurements | 43.5 | 44.03 | 11.35 | +32.68 | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 13 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · all settled | 69.5 | 27.4 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 2 combine measurements and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 69.5 out of 100, against 27.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Combine MeasurementsKenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq to post he could run in the four threes at the combine
What happened4.39called 4.364.56Close · naive 20.7664.56this call−20.76a naive guess=43.8better than naive×1difficulty=+43.8skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 0.09
- drill:
- forty time
- naive:
- the average TE (4.71, from 107 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a TE
- skill:
- 43.8
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- result:
- 4.39
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 64.56
- baseline:
- 20.76
- they said:
- 4.3
- sigmas out:
- 0.63
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
2Combine MeasurementsKenyon Sadiq
“if he decides to run, he could run in the four threes and he could jump forty inches”
What happened43.5called 4044.03Close · naive 11.3544.03this call−11.35a naive guess=32.68better than naive×1difficulty=+32.68skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 3.5
- drill:
- vertical in
- naive:
- the average TE (34.22, from 108 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 2.96 — one standard deviation for a TE
- skill:
- 32.68
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- result:
- 43.5
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 44.03
- baseline:
- 11.35
- they said:
- 40
- sigmas out:
- 1.18
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
3Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
69.5naive 27.4
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Broussard · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Broussard picked the Ravens to beat the Bills in a shootout, 38-34, took the Raiders to upset the Jets, and said Detroit would beat the Vikings.John Breech · Score Predictions · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 95
Breech's Week 8 score predictions include Bengals over Titans, Raiders over Jets, Rams over Chargers and Patriots over Dolphins.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Sullivan's Week 8 upset alert column flags five favorites they expect to lose: they pick the Falcons over the Buccaneers, the Raiders over the Jets, the undefeated Vikings over the Lions, the Ravens (with Lamar Jackson returning) over the Bills, and the Browns over the Steelers.Ezekiel Trezevant · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Trezevant argues that if the Raiders are as improved as they appeared at 3-0, they should beat the Jets in Week 8 on the road and end their four-game losing streak.
More combine measurements
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Field Yates · Combine Measurements · Brenen Thompson · Close 67
Yates pegged David Bailey as a top-four pick, called Jeremiah Love clearly the best running back in the class with a draft range from No. 3 overall to the Chiefs at No. 9, put Karnell Tate atop their receiver board, projected Jordan Tyson as a top-15 pick, and expected Brennan Thompson to run in the 4.2s. They also see both Miami's Mauigoa and Utah's Spencer Fano taken inside the top 15, with Mauigoa having a chance to be the first offensive lineman off the board.Joe Haden · Combine Measurements · Zachariah Branch · Miss 0
Joe (the Browns-affiliated co-host) argues Shedeur Sanders is still the best quarterback of this class but concedes Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick, and they play the combine 40-yard dash props on Caleb Downs, Zachariah Branch and Haynes King.Bruce Feldman · Combine Measurements · Cole Payton · Hit 100
Feldman discussed Fernando Mendoza as the likely No. 1 overall pick to the Raiders, praised Kenyon Sadik and Sunny Styles as combine standouts, projected Ty Simpson as a late-first-round pick, and pegged Cole Peyton for the fourth-to-fifth round range.Daniel Jeremiah · Combine Measurements · Justin Jefferson · Miss 27
On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave their views on the 2026 draft class: they set their board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.