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Bradley LockerApr 14, 2026

Locker's mock has the Bills trading back with Miami to pick 30, where they take Oregon guard Emmanuel Pregnon, while Miami moves up to 26 for edge rusher Akeem Messador and San Francisco takes KC Conception at 27.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting
60Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Bradley Locker said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But interior offensive line is a sneaky position considering the departure of David Edwards plus the impending free agency of Osiris Torrance.
Bradley Locker, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
Bills’ MOCK DRAFT Roundup: What ACTUALLY Makes the Most Sense for Buffalo in 2026 NFL Draft?
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidApr 14
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 26“Miami comes up and gets Akeem Messador, the edge rusher from Miami”
  2. 2Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 30“the bills move back to pick 30 and select a guard, Emmanuel Pregnon out of Oregon”
  3. 3K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 27“KC Conception, the wide receiver out of Texas a and m went number 27 to San Francisco”
  4. 4Buffalo Bills to pick at number 30“Bradley has the bills trading back, and he has them trading back with the Miami Dolphins. So the bills trade with Miami, move back to pick 30.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 261Mock Draft PicksWent 2284.0950+50
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 302Mock Draft PicksWent 888.1150+50
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 273Mock Draft PicksWent 2487.8150+50
Buffalo Bills to pick at number 304Team Draft Slot Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting6050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 60 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Buffalo Bills · 2026 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 28 overall pick and 31 overall pick. Bradley Locker said 30 overall pick. the room's median is 29 overall pick. not settled yet

Bradley Locker — 30 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 29 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
26They said
22What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksAkheem MesidorMiami Dolphins

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 26

    What happenedWent 22mocked at 26
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksEmmanuel PregnonBuffalo Bills

    Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 30

    What happenedWent 88mocked at 30
    8.11Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Emmanuel Pregnon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    8.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    88
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    8.11
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionSan Francisco 49ers

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 27

    What happenedWent 24mocked at 27
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Team Draft Slot CallsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to pick at number 30

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    60naive 50

Who this take is about

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